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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 May 20.
Published in final edited form as: Qual Prim Care. 2015;23(6):318–326.

Table 2.

Odds Ratios and Associated 95% Confidence Intervals of Being the Top 10% of the Total Hospital Costs in the Following Year (n=9624)

Characteristics Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8
Age 1.02 (1.01–1.02)** 1.01 (1.01–1.02)** 1.01 (1.01–1.02)** 1.01 (1.01–1.02)** 1.01 (1.01–1.02)** 1.01 (1.00–1.02)** 1.01 (1.00–1.02)** 1.01 (1.00–1.02)**
Gender
 Males - - - - - - - -
 Females 1.17 (1.02–1.34)* 1.17 (1.02–1.34)* 1.20 (1.05–1.38)** 0.98 (0.86–1.13) 1.20 (1.04–1.37)* 0.99 (0.86–1.15) 1.02 (0.88–1.17) 1.02 (0.88–1.17)
Race ethnicities
 White Non-Hispanic - - - - - - - -
 Black Non-Hispanic 0.81 (0.70–0.95)** 0.79 (0.68–0.92)** 0.81 (0.69–0.94)** 0.83 (0.71–0.96)* 0.80 (0.69–0.94)** 0.82 (0.70–0.95)* 0.81 (0.69–0.95)* 0.81 (0.70–0.95)*
 Other Non-Hispanic 0.54 (0.38–0.77)** 0.59 (0.42–0.84)** 0.60 (0.42–0.86)** 0.53 (0.37–0.75)** 0.60 (0.42–0.86)** 0.55 (0.39–0.78)** 0.55 (0.38–0.78)** 0.55 (0.38–0.78)**
 Hispanic Any Race 1.10 (0.72–1.69) 1.14 (0.74–1.76) 1.15 (0.74–1.77) 0.94 (0.60–1.46) 1.14 (0.74–1.77) 0.95 (0.61–1.49) 0.95 (0.61–1.49) 0.95 (0.61–1.49)
Panels
 2012 – 2013 - - - - - - - -
 2011 – 2012 1.00 (0.85–1.19) 0.99 (0.83–1.16) 1.02 (0.86–1.21) 0.99 (0.84–1.18) 1.02 (0.86–1.21) 1.00 (0.84–1.18) 1.00 (0.84–1.18) 1.00 (0.84–1.18)
 2010 – 2011 1.00 (0.85–1.17) 0.99 (0.85–1.17) 1.04 (0.89–1.22) 1.00 (0.85–1.18) 1.04 (0.89–1.22) 1.01 (0.86–1.19) 1.02 (0.87–1.20) 1.02 (0.87–1.20)
Number of chronic conditions (year 1) 1.22 (1.16–1.29)** 1.11 (0.93–1.33) 1.08 (1.02–1.14)** 0.98 (0.82–1.18)
Top 10 chronic conditions (year 1)
 Mental health problems 1.07 (0.93–1.24) 0.97 (0.77–1.22) 0.97 (0.84–1.13) 0.99 (0.79–1.25)
 Hypertension 1.24 (1.07–1.44)** 1.12 (0.88–1.42) 1.04 (0.89–1.22) 1.07 (0.84–1.36)
 Diabetes 0.95 (0.81–1.11) 0.86 (0.68–1.08) 0.98 (0.83–1.15) 0.99 (0.79–1.26)
 COPD/Asthma 1.11 (0.93–1.32) 0.94 (0.68–1.31) 1.03 (0.86–1.23) 1.06 (0.76–1.42)
 Coronary artery disease/ MI 1.53 (1.25–1.89)** 1.38 (1.05–1.82)* 1.24 (1.00–1.53) 1.26 (0.96–1.66)
 Liver disease 1.60 (1.24–1.89)** 1.42 (1.02–1.97)* 1.27 (0.98–1.66) 1.30 (0.93–1.82)
 Cancer 1.77 (1.36–2.31)** 1.58 (1.14–2.19)** 1.17 (0.88–1.54) 1.19 (0.85–1.67)
 Heart disease 1.42 (1.05–1.91)* 1.28 (0.90–1.81) 1.32 (0.98–1.79) 1.35 (0.95–1.66)
Cerebrovascular disease 1.10 (0.74–1.65) 0.98 (0.62–1.54) 0.92 (0.61–1.39) 0.94 (0.59–1.49)
 Congestive heart failure 2.30 (1.63–3.26)** 2.07 (1.41–3.07)** 2.24 (1.56–3.20)** 2.28 (1.53–3.40)**
Total hospital visits (year 1) 1.14 (1.12–1.16)** 1.13 (1.11–1.15)** 1.13 (1.11–1.15)** 1.13 (1.11–1.15)**
Number of prescription drugs (year1)
 0 - - - -
 1–2 1.29 (1.01–1.63)* 1.27 (1.00–1.62)* 1.32 (1.04–1.68)* 1.32 (1.04–1.68)*
 3–5 1.23 (0.99–1.52) 1.20 (0.97–1.49) 1.25 (1.01–1.55)* 1.25 (1.01–1.55)*
 6 or more 1.53 (1.25–1.86)** 1.51 (1.24–1.84)** 1.55 (1.27–1.90)** 1.55 (1.27–1.90)**
*

p<0.05;

**

p<0.01

Model 1: age, age quadratic term, gender, race and panel indicator

Model 2: Model 1 + number of chronic conditions

Model 3: Model 1 + 10 most prevalent chronic conditions

Model 4: Model 1 + health utilization variables

Model 5: Model 1 + number of chronic conditions + 10 most prevalent chronic conditions

Model 6: Model 1 + number of chronic conditions + health utilization variables

Model 7: Model 1 + 10 most prevalent chronic conditions + health utilization variables

Model 8: Model 1 + number of chronic conditions + 10 most prevalent chronic conditions + health utilization variables