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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Epilepsia. 2015 Jul 27;56(11):1753–1759. doi: 10.1111/epi.13090

Table 3. Risk of multifocal epilepsy from Bayesian analysis.

No. of seizures for confidence level Pretest probability

80% 50% 20%
>0.80 8 (6–10) 5 (4–6) 1
>0.90 9 (7–12) 7 (6–8) 4 (3–5)
>0.95 10 (8–13) 8 (6–10) 5 (5–7)

The number of seizures needed to achieve a given confidence level of unifocal epilepsy for different pretest probabilities of multifocal epilepsy. The 95% confidence intervals for number of seizures needed are presented in parenthesis.