Table 3. Results of the BioGeoBEARS analyses performed.
| MODEL | number of free parameters | LnL Results | AICc value | AICc weights | Relative model probabilities based on AICc |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEC_M1m_time | 2 | −182.6851307 | 369.508193 | 1.2082E − 06 | 0% |
| DEC + J_M1m_time | 3 | −167.9881476 | 342.255365 | 1.00E + 00 | 99% |
| DIVALIKE_M1m_time | 2 | −189.7320789 | 383.602089 | 1.05E − 09 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE + J_M1m_time | 3 | −174.2836319 | 354.846334 | 1.84E − 03 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE_M1m_time | 2 | −201.4968909 | 407.131713 | 8.1711E − 15 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE + J_M1m_time | 3 | −175.8161016 | 357.911273 | 3.98E − 04 | 0% |
| DEC_M2_time | 2 | −189.075381 | 431.446498 | 4.2894E − 20 | 0% |
| DEC + J_M2_time | 3 | −179.4268355 | 414.651899 | 1.90E − 16 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE_M2_time | 2 | −197.8204624 | 450.7026 | 2.8248E − 24 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE + J_M2_time | 3 | −187.7674918 | 432.119206 | 3.0642E − 20 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE_M2_time | 2 | −204.3778223 | 448.375322 | 9.0437E − 24 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE + J_M2_time | 3 | −185.7615947 | 393.047963 | 9.3439E − 12 | 0% |
| DEC_M3m_time | 2 | −183.4127287 | 377.426133 | 2.3055E − 08 | 0% |
| DEC + J_M3m_time | 3 | −173.6543751 | 361.506569 | 6.6017E − 05 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE_M3m_time | 2 | −187.3947768 | 390.544831 | 3.2664E − 11 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE + J_M3m_time | 3 | −178.7766499 | 375.234088 | 6.8986E − 08 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE_M3m_time | 2 | −200.5770228 | 414.269764 | 2.3029E − 16 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE + J_M3m_time | 3 | −176.9474415 | 368.710021 | 1.8007E − 06 | 0% |
| DEC_time | 2 | −213.6542834 | 431.446498 | 4.2894E − 20 | 0% |
| DEC + J_time | 3 | −204.1864144 | 414.651832 | 1.90E − 16 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE_time | 2 | −223.2823343 | 450.702597 | 2.82E − 24 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE + J_time | 3 | −212.9200679 | 432.11952 | 3.06E − 20 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE_time | 2 | −222.1186952 | 448.375341 | 9.0436E − 24 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE + J_time | 3 | −193.3844468 | 393.047961 | 9.3439E − 12 | 0% |
| DEC_adj | 2 | −186.6441009 | 382.288693 | 2.0271E − 09 | 0% |
| DEC + J_adj | 3 | −177.6137495 | 365.132741 | 1.08E − 05 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE_adj | 2 | −193.2034499 | 399.778856 | 3.228E − 13 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE + J_adj | 3 | −184.4775093 | 381.814053 | 2.57E − 09 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE_adj | 2 | −205.0659164 | 412.893576 | 4.5826E − 16 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE + J_adj | 3 | −181.2154758 | 377.802259 | 1.9102E − 08 | 0% |
| DEC | 2 | −213.6542833 | 370.963388 | 5.8362E − 07 | 0% |
| DEC + J | 3 | −204.1863811 | 353.58782 | 3.46E − 03 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE | 2 | −223.2823332 | 378.927485 | 1.09E − 08 | 0% |
| DIVALIKE + J | 3 | −212.9202253 | 363.83237 | 2.06E−05 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE | 2 | −222.1187049 | 405.291977 | 2.0501E − 14 | 0% |
| BAYAREALIKE + J | 3 | −193.3844454 | 360.173953 | 0.00012854 | 0% |
M1 − 3m_time = time stratified with adjacency matrix and manual dispersal multipliers.
adj = just using adjacency matrix.
time = time stratified with just manual dispersal multipliers.