Table 1.

Models and Model Parameters Obtained for the Three Time Series

Negative binomial distribution
Formulae	Theta	Mean	AIC	GOF	RMSEc	RMSEv
	0.413	0.077	143	0.279	0.30	0.39
	176	40.3	1063	1.016	7.06	8.57
	0.373	0.520	497	0.675	1.03	1.05

Theta is the dispersion parameter as defined in the function glm.nb (package {MASS}) in R x64 version 3.0.2.

AIC, Akaike information criterion; GOF, goodness-of-fit; RMSE, root-mean-squared error.