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. 2016 May 26;6(5):e010253. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010253

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Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/

This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

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Posterior summary of the main model parameters for 1 chain of the final (modified) space–time mixture model: (A) posterior density for b, (B) posterior mean and 95% CI for λ_i, (C) posterior mean and 95% CI for ψ_t, (D) posterior mean and 95% CI for ν_10t, (E) posterior mean and 95% CI for ν_22t, (F) posterior mean and 95% CI for ν_57t, (G) posterior mean and 95% CI for ν_68t, (H) posterior mean and 95% CI for ν_92t, (I) posterior mean and 95% CI for ν_158t, (J) posterior mean and 95% CI for z_10t, (K) posterior mean and 95% CI for z_22t, (L) posterior mean and 95% CI for z_57t, (M) posterior mean and 95% CI for z_68t, (N) posterior mean and 95% CI for z_92t and (O) posterior mean and 95% CI for z_158t.