Table IV.
Model fit statistics of APQ simplex models.
| Model | −2LL | df | AIC | Compare | Δ −2LL |
Δ df | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.ACSE | 12244.73 | 4694 | 2857 | - | - | - | - |
| 2.ADSE | 12254.56 | 4694 | 2867 | - | - | - | - |
| 3.ACE | 12254.27 | 4707 | 2840 | 1 | 9.53 | 13 | 0.73 |
| 4.ASE | 12262.59 | 4707 | 2849 | 1 | 17.85 | 13 | 0.16 |
| 5.AE | 12274.49 | 4720 | 2834 | 1 | 29.76 | 26 | 0.28 |
| 6.E | 12421.33 | 4733 | 2955 | 5 | 146.84 | 13 | <0.01 |
| AE simplex sub-models | |||||||
| Tests of innovation parameters | |||||||
| Drop Ai55-Ai80 | 12288.07 | 4726 | 2836 | 5 | 13.58 | 6 | 0.03 |
| Drop Ai55 | 12275.88 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | 1.39 | 1 | 0.24 |
| Drop Ai60 | 12276.99 | 4721 | 2835 | 5 | 2.50 | 1 | 0.11 |
| Drop Ai65 | 12275.72 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | 1.23 | 1 | 0.27 |
| Drop Ai70 | 12274.49 | 4721 | 2832 | 5 | <0.01 | 1 | 0.99 |
| Drop Ai75 | 12275.30 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | 0.81 | 1 | 0.37 |
| Drop Ai80 | 12274.49 | 4721 | 2832 | 5 | <0.01 | 1 | 0.99 |
| Drop Ei55-Ei80 | 12293.72 | 4726 | 2842 | 5 | 19.24 | 6 | <0.01 |
| Drop Ei55 | 12274.49 | 4721 | 2832 | 5 | <0.01 | 1 | 0.99 |
| Drop Ei60 | 12274.78 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.59 |
| Drop Ei65 | 12274.85 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | 0.36 | 1 | 0.55 |
| Drop Ei70 | 12280.87 | 4721 | 2839 | 5 | 6.38 | 1 | 0.01 |
| Drop Ei75 | 12276.91 | 4721 | 2835 | 5 | 2.42 | 1 | 0.12 |
| Drop Ei80 | 12285.75 | 4721 | 2844 | 5 | 11.27 | 1 | <0.01 |
| Tests of transmission parameter | |||||||
| Set all At = 1 | 12302.18 | 4726 | 2850 | 5 | 27.69 | 6 | <0.01 |
| Set At50–55 | 12274.66 | 4721 | 2832 | 5 | 0.18 | 1 | 0.67 |
| Set At55–60 | 12282.58 | 4721 | 2832 | 5 | 8.09 | 1 | <0.01 |
| Set At60–65 | 12274.77 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | 0.28 | 1 | 0.59 |
| Set At65–70 | 12277.92 | 4721 | 2836 | 5 | 3.44 | 1 | 0.06 |
| Set At70–75 | 12283.14 | 4721 | 2841 | 5 | 8.66 | 1 | <0.01 |
| Set At75–80 | 12275.67 | 4721 | 2834 | 5 | 1.18 | 1 | 0.28 |
| Set all Et = 1 | 12293.69 | 4726 | 2842 | 5 | 19.21 | 6 | <0.01 |
| Set Et50–55 | 12274.49 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | <0.01 | 1 | 0.99 |
| Set Et55–60 | 12274.52 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | 0.03 | 1 | 0.87 |
| Set Et60–65 | 12274.55 | 4721 | 2833 | 5 | 0.06 | 1 | 0.80 |
| Set Et6570 | 12276.17 | 4721 | 2834 | 5 | 1.68 | 1 | 0.19 |
| Set Et7075 | 12281.32 | 4721 | 2839 | 5 | 6.83 | 1 | 0.01 |
| Set Et75–80 | 12278.28 | 4721 | 2836 | 5 | 3.79 | 1 | 0.06 |
Note: −2LL = negative log-likelihood; df = degrees of freedom; AIC = Akaike information criterion; Compare = the comparison model for the log-likelihood ratio test; Set transmission factors means constraining beta to equal 1.0. The Ai and Ei entries represent the tests of the genetic and environmental innovations. The At and the Et entries represent the tests of the transmission parameters.