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. 2016 May 9;113(21):5886–5891. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1520795113

Table 1.

Scenarios after the resolution of uncertainty in climate sensitivity

Scenario no. Equilibrium climate sensitivity (T2x) Occurrence probability, % SRM implementation
Scenario 1 2 °C (low) 10 No
Scenario 2 3 °C (moderate) 71 No
Scenario 3 4 °C (high) 19 Yes

SRM is deployed after 2050 only if climate sensitivity is found to be high.