Fig. 2.

Prior and posterior distributions for the correlation ρ between loneliness and the physical warmth index across the nine replication experiments from Donnellan et al. (in press). The statistical model is defined as ${\mathcal{\mathscr{H}}}_1:\rho \sim U(-1,1)$. The filled dots indicate the height of the prior and posterior distributions at ρ = 0; the ratio of these heights equals the evidence that the data provide for ${\mathcal{\mathscr{H}}}_1$ versus ${\mathcal{\mathscr{H}}}_0$ (Wagenmakers et al. 2010)