Fig. 5.

Prior and posterior distributions for the correlation ρ between loneliness and the physical warmth index across the nine replication experiments from Donnellan et al. (in press). The statistical model is defined as ${\mathcal{\mathscr{H}}}_{\text{r}}:\rho \sim \text{“posterior distribution from original study”}$. The filled dots indicate the height of the prior and posterior distributions at ρ = 0; the ratio of these heights equals the evidence that the data provide for the proponent’s ${\mathcal{\mathscr{H}}}_{\text{r}}$ versus the skeptic’s ${\mathcal{\mathscr{H}}}_0$ (Wagenmakers et al. 2010)