TABLE 4.
Number of Radiation Exposed Cases and Parameter Estimates for Modifiers of the Linear Component (β) of the Excess Relative Risk (ERR) Radiation Dose Model with Additive Adjustment for Treatment with Chemotherapya
| Modifier | Cases | β | γ1 | γ2 | γ3 | RR0.2 Gyb | RR10 Gyb | θ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 927 | 5.45 | 0.016 | −0.001 | −0.281 | 2.7 | 30.4 | 2.55 |
| Gender | ||||||||
| Male | 345 | 6.79 | 0.0145 | −0.001 | −0.280 | 3.1 | 37.3 | 2.60 |
| Female | 582 | 5.12 | 2.6 | 28.3 | ||||
| P valuec | 0.35 | |||||||
| Chemotherapy | ||||||||
| No | 797 | 5.47 | 0.009 | −0.001 | −0.277 | 2.7 | 29.1 | 2.67 |
| Yes | 130 | 6.66 | 3.1 | 35.3 | ||||
| P value | 0.36 | |||||||
| Alkylating agentd | ||||||||
| No | 831 | 5.42 | 0.016 | −0.001 | −0.282 | 2.7 | 30.2 | 3.81 |
| Yes | 96 | 5.31 | 2.7 | 29.5 | ||||
| P value | 0.91 | |||||||
| Age at exposure (years) | ||||||||
| <1 | 146 | 9.17 | 0.019 | −0.001 | −0.290 | 3.9 | 51.9 | 2.69 |
| 1–4 | 380 | 7.80 | 3.5 | 44.3 | ||||
| 5–9 | 214 | 4.18 | 2.3 | 24.2 | ||||
| 10–14 | 128 | 3.88 | 2.2 | 22.6 | ||||
| 15–19 | 59 | 1.51 | 1.5 | 9.4 | ||||
| P value | <0.001 | |||||||
| Attained age (years) | ||||||||
| <20 | 109 | 11.54 | –0.021 | −0.001 | −0.162 | 4.0 | 61.4 | 5.89 |
| 20–29 | 248 | 12.23 | 4.2 | 65.0 | ||||
| 30–39 | 284 | 11.41 | 4.0 | 60.7 | ||||
| 40–49 | 141 | 3.59 | 1.9 | 19.8 | ||||
| 50–59 | 101 | 2.06 | 1.5 | 11.8 | ||||
| 60+ | 44 | 1.40 | 1.4 | 8.3 | ||||
| P value | <0.001 | |||||||
| Time since exposure (years) | ||||||||
| <10 | 42 | 2.76 | 0.005 | −0.001 | −0.204 | 1.8 | 17.1 | 3.35 |
| 10–14 | 65 | 3.39 | 1.9 | 20.8 | ||||
| 15–19 | 128 | 8.28 | 3.3 | 49.3 | ||||
| 20–24 | 119 | 7.64 | 3.1 | 45.5 | ||||
| 25–29 | 183 | 14.01 | 4.9 | 82.6 | ||||
| 30–34 | 118 | 9.06 | 3.5 | 53.8 | ||||
| 35–39 | 77 | 4.91 | 2.4 | 29.6 | ||||
| 40–44 | 70 | 3.65 | 2.0 | 22.3 | ||||
| 45–49 | 64 | 3.16 | 1.9 | 19.4 | ||||
| 50+ | 61 | 1.54 | 1.4 | 10.0 | ||||
| P value | <0.001 | |||||||
| Study group | ||||||||
| Non-CCSS | 755 | 5.47 | 0.022 | −0.001 | −0.284 | 2.7 | 31.6 | 1.96 |
| CCSS | 172 | 4.21 | 2.3 | 24.6 | ||||
| P value | 0.68 | |||||||
| Number of treatments (all data)e | ||||||||
| 1 | 783 | 5.51 | 0.016 | −0.001 | −0.276 | 2.7 | 30.9 | 2.61 |
| ≥2 | 144 | 5.36 | 2.9 | 30.1 | ||||
| P valuec | 0.84 | |||||||
| Number of treatments (Non-CCSS data)e,f | ||||||||
| 1 | 636 | 5.55 | –0.301 | 2.0 | –g | |||
| ≥2 | 119 | 5.83 | 2.1 | –g | ||||
| P valuec | 0.73 | |||||||
| Number of treatments (CCSS data)e,f | ||||||||
| 1 | 147 | 5.79 | –0.062 | –g | 32.1 | 2.36 | ||
| ≥2 | 25 | 4.50 | –g | 25.2 | ||||
| P valuec | 0.38 | |||||||
Model for the ERR with continuous radiation dose: ERR(d) = βd exp{γ1d + γ2d2 + γ3ln(d)} with linear parameter β and the γ parameters defining the curvature. Models fitted with an additive adjustment for treatment with chemotherapy, xt, RR(d, xt) = 1 + ERR(d) + θxt. Models adjusted for study, sex, age and other study-specific factors (see text). For modifiers, βd was replaced by (∑j βj zj d), where zj was a zero/one indicator variable for the jth category and βj represented the linear parameter within the jth category. Number of cases reflect radiation exposed only, with nonexposed cases numbering 143.
Fitted RR at 0.2 and 10 Gy, the approximate trials-weighted mean doses in exposed participants in non-CCSS (0.22 Gy) and CCSS (9.3 Gy) studies.
P value for J − 1 degrees of freedom likelihood ratio test of homogeneity, β1 = … = βJ.
Treatment with an alkylating agent replaces chemotherapy as an adjustment variable.
There was no single definition for fractionation across studies. Length of time between fractions, dose per fraction and reason for fractionation differed in each study. In general, one treatment course included all fractions of radiation dose received within six months in most studies and at least a one year interval for tinea capitis.
Evaluation used AIC-preferred models: the linear-exponential (log) model, βj, γ3, for non-CCSS data and the linear-exponential (linear) model, βj, γ1, for the CCSS data.
Not in applicable dose range and estimate omitted.