Table 2. Evaluation of DAE to flowering and maturity for the trials in calibration dataset in the three calibration experiments for the four phenology models.
Phenology Model | DAE | Calibration experiments | Sample size | MAD | α | β | R2 | NRMSE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n trials | days | – | – | – | % | |||
GDD | Flowering | ΔGST ≤ 1 °C | 109 | 3.68 | 0.96 | 4.12 | 0.94 | 4.55 |
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C | 289 | 4.15 | 0.95 | 5.12 | 0.92 | 5.22 | ||
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C | 503 | 4.68 | 1.03 | −2.33 | 0.92 | 5.84 | ||
Maturity | ΔGST ≤ 1 °C | 109 | 4.65 | 0.94 | 7.23 | 0.93 | 4.33 | |
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C | 289 | 5.51 | 0.92 | 9.37 | 0.89 | 5.23 | ||
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C | 503 | 5.95 | 0.92 | 9.30 | 0.85 | 5.84 | ||
Exponential | Flowering | ΔGST ≤ 1 °C | 109 | 3.54 | 0.95 | 4.79 | 0.95 | 4.29 |
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C | 289 | 4.09 | 0.94 | 4.65 | 0.93 | 5.21 | ||
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C | 503 | 4.48 | 1.02 | −1.77 | 0.92 | 5.67 | ||
Maturity | ΔGST ≤ 1 °C | 109 | 4.85 | 0.93 | 7.78 | 0.92 | 4.46 | |
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C | 289 | 5.79 | 0.90 | 10.92 | 0.88 | 5.68 | ||
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C | 503 | 6.25 | 0.89 | 11.63 | 0.84 | 6.20 | ||
Bilinear | Flowering | ΔGST ≤ 1 °C | 109 | 3.54 | 0.98 | 1.87 | 0.95 | 4.27 |
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C | 289 | 4.25 | 0.99 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 5.16 | ||
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C | 503 | 5.82 | 1.12 | −9.60 | 0.91 | 7.38 | ||
Maturity | ΔGST ≤ 1 °C | 109 | 4.41 | 0.97 | 4.16 | 0.93 | 4.32 | |
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C | 289 | 5.69 | 0.96 | 6.24 | 0.89 | 5.31 | ||
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C | 503 | 6.44 | 0.99 | 1.86 | 0.85 | 6.06 | ||
Beta | Flowering | ΔGST ≤ 1 °C | 109 | 3.81 | 0.92 | 6.54 | 0.94 | 4.68 |
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C | 289 | 4.00 | 0.92 | 6.90 | 0.93 | 5.24 | ||
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C | 503 | 4.23 | 0.99 | 0.61 | 0.91 | 5.66 | ||
Maturity | ΔGST ≤ 1 °C | 109 | 5.45 | 0.90 | 10.43 | 0.92 | 5.11 | |
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C | 289 | 6.53 | 0.90 | 11.19 | 0.82 | 6.90 | ||
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C | 503 | 7.19 | 0.91 | 9.21 | 0.79 | 7.38 |
MAD: mean absolute deviation; α: slope of linear regression between simulated and observed values; β: intercept of linear regression between simulated and observed values; R2: coefficient of determination; NRMSE: normalized root mean square error. The equations are available in Supplementary Note S3.