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. 2016 Jun 7;6:27355. doi: 10.1038/srep27355

Table 2. Evaluation of DAE to flowering and maturity for the trials in calibration dataset in the three calibration experiments for the four phenology models.

Phenology Model DAE Calibration experiments Sample size MAD α β R2 NRMSE
n trials days %
GDD Flowering ΔGST ≤ 1 °C 109 3.68 0.96 4.12 0.94 4.55
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C 289 4.15 0.95 5.12 0.92 5.22
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C 503 4.68 1.03 −2.33 0.92 5.84
Maturity ΔGST ≤ 1 °C 109 4.65 0.94 7.23 0.93 4.33
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C 289 5.51 0.92 9.37 0.89 5.23
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C 503 5.95 0.92 9.30 0.85 5.84
Exponential Flowering ΔGST ≤ 1 °C 109 3.54 0.95 4.79 0.95 4.29
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C 289 4.09 0.94 4.65 0.93 5.21
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C 503 4.48 1.02 −1.77 0.92 5.67
Maturity ΔGST ≤ 1 °C 109 4.85 0.93 7.78 0.92 4.46
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C 289 5.79 0.90 10.92 0.88 5.68
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C 503 6.25 0.89 11.63 0.84 6.20
Bilinear Flowering ΔGST ≤ 1 °C 109 3.54 0.98 1.87 0.95 4.27
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C 289 4.25 0.99 0.95 0.93 5.16
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C 503 5.82 1.12 −9.60 0.91 7.38
Maturity ΔGST ≤ 1 °C 109 4.41 0.97 4.16 0.93 4.32
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C 289 5.69 0.96 6.24 0.89 5.31
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C 503 6.44 0.99 1.86 0.85 6.06
Beta Flowering ΔGST ≤ 1 °C 109 3.81 0.92 6.54 0.94 4.68
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C 289 4.00 0.92 6.90 0.93 5.24
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C 503 4.23 0.99 0.61 0.91 5.66
Maturity ΔGST ≤ 1 °C 109 5.45 0.90 10.43 0.92 5.11
ΔGST ≤ 2 °C 289 6.53 0.90 11.19 0.82 6.90
ΔGST ≤ 3 °C 503 7.19 0.91 9.21 0.79 7.38

MAD: mean absolute deviation; α: slope of linear regression between simulated and observed values; β: intercept of linear regression between simulated and observed values; R2: coefficient of determination; NRMSE: normalized root mean square error. The equations are available in Supplementary Note S3.