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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jun 9.
Published in final edited form as: Hepatology. 2015 Mar 19;61(4):1392–1405. doi: 10.1002/hep.27678

Table 3.

Endpoints (markers of outcomes) for early stage disease

Endpoint Comment
Development of cirrhosis
  • Clearly defines a worsening of health status and adversely affects how a patient feels, functions or survives

  • May serve as a primary endpoint for full approval

  • May be measured by biopsy or other modalities for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis (e.g., liver stiffness measurements)

Reversal of steatohepatitis without progression to advanced fibrosis (stage 3–4)
  • Can be demonstrated within a 12–24 month time-frame

  • Is a surrogate for prevention of cirrhosis

  • May be suitable for subpart H approval process but will require long-term post-approval follow up to demonstrate that treatment prevents cirrhosis

  • Advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis may be measured by biopsy or other modalities for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis (e.g., liver stiffness measurements)

NAFLD Activity Score (NAS)
  • Needs validation to demonstrate that a decrease reflects reduced risk of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis.

  • Relative impact of improvement of steatosis vs. inflammation vs. ballooning is not clear

Reduction of hepatic steatosis by imaging studies along with decrease in ALT and/or CK18
  • MR quantification of steatosis is now a community-accepted validated tool: requires FDA acceptance of the tool for validation and use in clinical trials used for registration*

  • ALT usually, but not always, improves with improvement in histology

  • Decreased CK18 has been shown to correlate with histological improvement in trials of subjects with stage 0–3 disease

  • Best suited for early phase proof of concept (phase 1/2a) studies

*

It is recommended that sponsors planning to use this tool as an endpoint discuss their plans with FDA in accordance with FDA mechanisms for pre-trial consultation.