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. 2016 Mar 19;181:809–817. doi: 10.1007/s00442-016-3595-4

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© The Author(s) 2016

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.

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Fig. 2 — Mean posterior estimates (with 95 % credible intervals) of multistate survival in Greenland white-fronted geese with age (1–7+) modeled as a linear trend. States were with parents (filled circles), siblings (filled triangles), independent/nonbreeder (open circles), and independent/breeder (open triangles) at Wexford, Ireland in 1983–2003. Sibling, independent/nonbreeder, and independent/breeder states were estimated from age 2 because all birds began their capture history with at least one parent