Table 3.

Cutoff points for the different outcome variables

	AIMS65	GBS	RS
Inpatient cmortality	1 (S: 100%; E: 24%; PPV: 12%; NPV: 100%)	12 (S: 76%; E: 68%; PPV: 19%; NPV: 96%)	6 (S: 90%; E: 60%; PPV: 19%; NPV: 98%)
Endoscopic intervention	1 (S: 87%; E: 28%; PPV: 45%; NPV: 76%)	9 (S: 75%; E: 44%; PPV: 48%; NPV: 72%)	−
Rebleeding	−	11 (S: 77%; E: 54%; PPV: 7%; NPV: 98%)	6 (S: 69%; E: 56%; PPV: 7%; NPV: 98%)
Surgery	−	−	−
Transfusion	1 (S: 88%; E: 37%; PPV: 69%; NPV: 64%)	8 (S: 91%; E: 58%, PPV: 78%, NPV: 80%)	4 (S: 87%; E: 51%; PPV: 75%; NPV: 71%)
Delayed mortality (6 mo)	2 (S: 38%; E: 89%; PPV: 31%; NPV: 91%)	10 (S: 72%; E: 49%; PPV: 16%; NPV: 93%)	6 (S: 69%; E: 64%; PPV: 20%; NPV: 94%)
Composite endpoint	1 (S: 88%; E: 29%; PPV: 49%; NPV: 76%)	10 (S: 65%; E: 51%; PPV: 51%, NPV: 65%)	5 (S: 82%; E: 57%; PPV: 60%; NPV: 81%)

GBS: Glasgow–Blatchford Score; RS: Rockall score; S: sensitivity; E: specificity; PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value