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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet HIV. 2016 May 11;3(6):e275–e282. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(16)30009-1

Figure 1. Model output for HIV prevalence and incidence.

Figure 1

Model HIV prevalence (a) is similar to observed prevalence in KZN, and model HIV incidence (b) is similar to the average HIV incidence observed in KZN. Model output for prevalence (c) and incidence (d) for various intervention scenarios are shown with Baseline ART coverage of 36% for all HIV-positive persons (red). Home HTC with ART initiation at CD4≤350 cells/µL is shown in blue, home HTC with ART for persons with CD4>350 cells/µL and viral load>10,000 copies/mL is shown in green, and home HTC with ART initiation at CD4≤500 cells/µL is shown in purple.