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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Jul 12.
Published in final edited form as: Vaccine. 2016 May 21;34(32):3663–3669. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.05.027

Table 3.

Introducing a Demand Forecasting System with Multiple Concomitant Measures

% of Rural Population Relocated to Urban Areas
0% 10% 30% 50%
Demand Forecasting System, Storage Capacity, & Transport Capacity
  Total
    Availability N/A 100% 99% 92%
    Doses Given* N/A 10.86 10.71 10.04
    Doses Missed* N/A 0.00 0.16 0.82
  Urban/Rural
    Availability N/A 100% / 100% 97% / 100% 88% / 100%
    Doses Given* N/A 4.00 / 6.86 5.37 / 5.34 6.23 / 3.81
    Doses Missed* N/A 0.00 / 0.00 0.16 / 0.00 0.82 / 0.00
Demand Forecasting System, Storage Capacity, & Transport Frequency
  Total
    Availability N/A 100% 100% 100%
    Doses Given* N/A 10.87 10.87 10.86
    Doses Missed* N/A 0.00 0.00 0.00
  Urban/Rural
    Availability N/A 100% / 100% 100% / 100% 100% / 100%
    Doses Given* N/A 4.01 / 6.86 5.53 / 5.34 7.05 / 3.81
    Doses Missed* N/A 0.00 / 0.00 0.00 / 0.00 0.00 / 0.00
Demand Forecasting System, Transport Capacity, & Transport Frequency
  Total
    Availability N/A 97% 96% 92%
    Doses Given* N/A 10.59 10.44 10.03
    Doses Missed* N/A 0.28 0.43 0.83
  Urban/Rural
    Availability N/A 95% / 99% 93% / 99% 89% / 99%
    Doses Given* N/A 3.83 / 6.76 5.16 / 5.28 6.25 / 3.78
    Doses Missed* N/A 0.18 / 0.10 0.37 / 0.05 0.80 / 0.03
Demand Forecasting System, Storage Capacity, Transport Capacity, & Transport Frequency
  Total
    Availability N/A 100% 100% 100%
    Doses Given* N/A 10.87 10.87 10.86
    Doses Missed* N/A 0.00 0.00 0.00
  Urban/Rural
    Availability N/A 100% / 100% 100% / 100% 100% / 100%
    Doses Given* N/A 4.01 / 6.86 5.53 / 5.34 7.05 / 3.81
    Doses Missed* N/A 0.00 / 0.00 0.00 / 0.00 0.00 / 0.00
*

Number of doses in millions