Table 1.
Sample | Proportion voting, voter treatment | Proportion voting, voting treatment | Difference of proportions (voter − voting) [SE] | Regression estimate of difference (voter − voting) [SE] | No. of observations (voter; voting) |
Entire sample | 0.301 | 0.311 | −0.010 [0.014] | −0.004 [0.011] | 2,236; 2,232 |
State: Michigan | 0.234 | 0.242 | −0.008 [0.019] | −0.007 [0.015] | 1,041; 1,015 |
State: Missouri | 0.333 | 0.341 | −0.008 [0.028] | −0.005 [0.023] | 577; 563 |
State: Tennessee | 0.383 | 0.393 | −0.009 [0.027] | 0.000 [0.021] | 618; 654 |
No competitive house primary | 0.321 | 0.339 | −0.018 [0.018] | −0.011 [0.015] | 1,307; 1,305 |
Either house primary competitive | 0.273 | 0.273 | 0.000 [0.021] | 0.004 [0.016] | 929; 927 |
Ever voters | 0.326 | 0.338 | −0.013 [0.015] | −0.004 [0.012] | 2,047; 2,033 |
Have voted in primary | 0.596 | 0.632 | −0.037 [0.024] | −0.014 [0.021] | 848; 832 |
Have voted but never in primary | 0.135 | 0.135 | 0.000 [0.014] | 0.003 [0.013] | 1,199; 1,201 |
No prior history of voting | 0.032 | 0.035 | −0.003 [0.018] | −0.003 [0.018] | 189; 199 |
Predicted turnout >70% | 0.764 | 0.781 | −0.017 [0.030] | −0.007 [0.027] | 377; 407 |
The estimates in column 5 were generated from regression models including strata (strata × vote history × district competitiveness) fixed effects and state interacted with indicators for age, year of registration, sex, race/ethnicity, and the number of times voted in general, primary, and special elections (complete model results are reported in Table S3). No differences in proportions or regression estimates are statistically significant (P < 0.05).