Table 3.
Variable | Women | Men | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR | 95 % CI | P | HR | 95 % CI | P | ||
Model 1 (Laboratory based)a | |||||||
Age (in 10 yrs) | 0.99 | 0.71–1.38 | 0.968 | 1.38 | 0.97–1.98 | 0.078 | |
Total cholesterol (mg/dl in 10 yrs) | 0.99 | 0.88–1.12 | 0.930 | 1.13 | 1.03–1.26 | 0.015 | |
HDL cholesterol (mg/dl in 10 yrs) | 0.77 | 0.39–1.53 | 0.455 | 0.50 | 0.26–0.98 | 0.042 | |
Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg in 10 yrs) | 1.18 | 0.96–1.55 | 1.452 | 1.52 | 1.23–1.89 | 0.0001 | |
History of blood pressure treatment | 0.78 | 0.15–3.99 | 0.763 | 1.54 | 0.45–5.30 | 0.490 | |
Current smoker | 0.77 | 0.27–2.23 | 0.628 | 1.88 | 0.93–3.81 | 0.081 | |
Diabetes | 1.22 | 0.46–3.26 | 0.694 | 1.34 | 0.61–2.9 | 0.466 | |
Model 2 (WHO with cholesterol)b | |||||||
Age (in 10 yrs) | 1.10 | 0.70–1.73 | 0.683 | 1.39 | 0.87–2.21 | 0.168 | |
Total cholesterol (mg/dl in 10 yrs) | 0.97 | 0.87–1.08 | 0.614 | 1.01 | 0.89–1.15 | 0.878 | |
Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg in 10 yrs) | 1.21 | 0.91–1.61 | 0.187 | 1.62 | 1.22–2.15 | 0.0008 | |
History of blood pressure treatment | 0.80 | 0.16–3.92 | 0.781 | 1.80 | 0.51–6.31 | 0.357 | |
Current smoker | 0.53 | 0.11–2.64 | 0.437 | 1.54 | 0.61–3.93 | 0.363 | |
Diabetes | 1.58 | 0.47–5.23 | 0.455 | 1.37 | 0.51–3.70 | 0.534 | |
Model 3 (WHO without cholesterol)c | |||||||
Age (in 10 yrs) | 1.05 | 0.67–1.63 | 0.833 | 1.45 | 0.90–2.34 | 0.123 | |
Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg in 10 yrs) | 1.11 | 0.76–1.62 | 0.606 | 1.77 | 1.35–2.32 | <0.0001 | |
History of blood pressure treatment | 0.44 | 0.06–3.10 | 0.412 | 1.94 | 0.48–7.82 | 0.348 | |
Current smoker | 0.52 | 0.11–2.56 | 0.421 | 1.56 | 0.61–3.98 | 0.353 | |
Diabetes | 1.44 | 0.43–4.83 | 0.556 | 1.41 | 0.53–3.78 | 0.488 | |
Model 4 (Non-laboratory based)d | |||||||
Age (in 10 yrs) | 0.83 | 0.51–1.34 | 0.448 | 1.36 | 0.89–2.08 | 0.149 | |
Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg in 10 yrs) | 1.13 | 0.86–1.48 | 0.392 | 1.57 | 1.21–2.04 | 0.0007 | |
History of blood pressure treatment | 1.65 | 0.36–7.51 | 0.516 | 1.79 | 0.51–6.28 | 0.369 | |
Current smoker | 0.84 | 0.21–3.41 | 0.827 | 1.74 | 0.78–3.87 | 0.175 | |
Diabetes | 0.88 | 0.27–2.84 | 0.827 | 1.16 | 0.46–2.90 | 0.754 | |
ABSIe (from 1 SD) | 3.20 | 1.60–6.42 | 0.001 | 1.09 | 0.53–2.22 | 0.817 |
HR hazard ration, yrs years, SD standard deviation
aC statistics (95 % CI): 0.634 (0.527–0.710) for women; 0.675 (0.575–0.775) for men
bC statistics (95 % CI): 0.626 (0.521–0.731) for women; 0.644 (0.541–0.746) for men
cC statistics (95 % CI): 0.611 (0.506–0.717) for women; 0.631 (0.528–0.734) for men
dC statistics (95 % CI): 0.685 (0.581–0.789) for women; 0.627 (0.525–0.728) for men
eABSI (1 ± SD, male 0.0062 and female 0.0069)