Table 2. Statistical probabilities of line loss.
CV | p | O. tauri | O. mediterraneus | B. prasinos | M. pusilla | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lexp | P(L ≥ Lobs) | Lexp | P(L ≥ Lobs) | Lexp | P(L ≥ Lobs) | Lexp | P(L ≥ Lobs) | ||
0 | 0.0025 | 2.7 | 0 | 2.1 | 0 | 2.4 | 0 | 1.7 | 0 |
0.05 | 0.0026 | 2.8 | 0 | 2.2 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 |
0.4 | 0.0150 | 16.2 | 0.09 | 12.6 | 0 | 14.4 | 0 | 10.2 | 0 |
0.5 | 0.0260 | 28.1 | 0.89 | 21.8 | 0.5 | 25.0 | 0.0000 | 17.7 | 0.0033 |
Statistical probabilities of line loss, with p the probability of line loss at each bottleneck, Lexp the expected number of line losses for each experiment, and Lobs the number of observed line losses. Probability of observing Lobs or more line losses, as a function of the number of lines, the number of bottlenecks, t (16, 21, and 27 bottlenecks depending on species), and the coefficient of variation of the sampling error (γ distribution with average 1 and Coefficient of Variation CV). As an example, for O. tauri, the probability of obtaining the observed line loss, Lobs, over the number of bottlenecks performed, with a CV of 0.04, is 0.09 [P(L ≥ Lobs)], the expected line loss, Lexp, being 2.8.