Table 3. Posterior median and 95% CrI for key parameters by model.
| Parameter | Parallel-reg. model | Meta-reg. model |
|---|---|---|
| R0 | – | 1.81 (1.77, 1.84) |
| dI | 3.47 (3.35, 3.59) | 3.46 (3.34, 3.58) |
| θ | 0.154 (0.126, 0.186) | 0.114 (0.098, 0.134) |
| m1 | 0.569 (0.536, 0.605) | 0.618 (0.584, 0.651) |
| m2 | 0.901 (0.610, 0.996) | 0.666 (0.265, 0.740) |
| m3 | 0.007 (0.000, 0.032) | 0.006 (0.000, 0.032) |
| m4 | 0.167 (0.008, 0.669) | 0.214 (0.004, 0.909) |
| m5 | 0.446 (0.341, 0.557) | 0.411 (0.291, 0.528) |
Estimates of the reproduction number (R0) from the PR model are 1.79 (1.74, 1.83), 1.80 (1.76, 1.85), 1.82 (1.78, 1.87), 1.77 (1.73, 1.80) for London, West Midlands, North and South, respectively.