Table 2.
Treatment strategy | Worm years averted (per 100) | Prevalent case years averted (per 100) | Heavy infection case years averted — lower thresholda (per 100) | Heavy infection case years averted — higher thresholda (per 100) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Fitted (higher) transmission setting | ||||
Standalone albendazole | ||||
Annual targeted treatment | 24,290 | 52 | 55 | 19 |
Biannual targeted treatment | 35,733 | 158 | 78 | 22 |
Ivermectin co-administration | ||||
Annual targeted treatment | 33,653 | 118 | 75 | 22 |
Biannual targeted treatment | 40,981 | 390 | 84 | 23 |
Lower transmission setting | ||||
Standalone albendazole | ||||
Annual targeted treatment | 8,995 | 218 | 12.888 | 0.512 |
Biannual targeted treatment | 10,055 | 276 | 13.353 | 0.517 |
Ivermectin co-administration | ||||
Annual targeted treatment | 10,005 | 275 | 13.355 | 0.517 |
Biannual targeted treatment | 10,858 | 363 | 13.538 | 0.518 |
Results assume 75% treatment coverage of Pre-SAC and SAC. Two different transmission settings were explored; lower (R0 = 1.25), and higher (R0 = 1.75 — fitted). The analysis was performed with a ten year time horizon (comparing ten years of standalone treatment to ivermectin co-administration). Note that those under five years of age did not receive ivermectin and would only be treated with albendazole.
The thresholds for heavy infection are presented in Table 1.