Fig. 2. Validation of the model.
Independent SMFA data including 10,790 mosquitoes from 110 feeding experiments with 541 COMs were used to validate the model. The mean oocysts (x-axis in a log-scale) and prevalence (y-axis in a linear-scale) from each COM of the validation data were calculated. The data are presented with jittering and alpha blending to show overlapping points. The best-fit line (red) and the 95% prediction region (PR, blue) was estimated from the ZINB model using the model-building data (the red and blue lines are not the best-fit and the 95% PR of the validation data). The 95% PR of the model was calculated assuming 20 mosquitoes were dissected per COM (see supplement for details).
