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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jul 25.
Published in final edited form as: Stat Med. 2015 Nov 3;35(11):1848–1865. doi: 10.1002/sim.6785

Table 4.

Results of cumulative prediction using China central north weekly HFMD data from 2009 to 2010. The figures are MSEP, as given by 10 and are for the Type I–IV models, as well as the epidemic/endemic (epi/end) model 11. For each q, figures in bold are row minimum MSEP.

T⋆ Type I Type II Type III Type IV Epi/End model
99 1527 1852 1372 1915 3514
100 1695 1086 1322 1590 3601
101 784 629 785 571 2679
102 773 529 756 538 1061
103 924 498 810 512 302