Table 3.
Matching Results on the Effect of Marriage on Recidivism, by Spousal Criminality
| Model description | Model 1a | Model 2b | Model 3c | Model 4d | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main analysis | |||||
| Difference in recidivism, matched samples | Estimate | −.02*** | −.02*** | .03 | .11*** |
| N (all / treated) | 93,264 / 9,574e | 93,264 / 9,265f | 93,264 / 309 | 9,231g / 309 | |
| Difference in recidivism,unmatched samples | Estimate | −.08*** | −.09*** | .13*** | .22*** |
| N (all / treated) | 93,264 / 9,575 | 93,264 / 9,266 | 93,264 / 309 | 9,266 / 309 | |
| Sensitivity analysis | |||||
| Spousal criminality observed 0–2 years prior to marriage | Estimate | −.02*** | −.02*** | .06 | .08* |
| N (all / treated) | 93,264 / 9,574 | 93,264 / 9,419 | 93,264 / 156 | 9,384 / 156 | |
| Spousal criminality observed 0–8 years prior to marriage | Estimate | −.02*** | −.02*** | .02 | .06*** |
| N (all / treated) | 93,264 / 9,574 | 93,264 / 9,073 | 93,264 / 502 | 9,073 / 502 | |
In Model 1 the treatment is marriage (to any spouse) and the control is nonmarriage.
In Model 2 the treatment is marriage to a nonconvicted spouse and the control is nonmarriage.
In Model 3 the treatment is marriage to a convicted spouse and the control is nonmarriage.
In Model 4 the treatment is marriage to a convicted spouse and the control is marriage to a nonconvicted spouse.
One observation is off common support and thus not included in the analysis.
One observation is off common support and thus not included in the analysis.
Thirty‐five observations are off common support and thus not included in the analysis.
p < .05.
p < .001.