Table 4:
Expected survival over five years, and time spent in hospital over five years, by age and sex, under parametric and semi-parametric multi-state models, with 95% confidence intervals where available.
| Weibull | Exponential | Semi-parametric | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survival [years] | ||||
| Men: | 65 | 4.36 (4.24, 4.44) | 4.43 (4.36, 4.51) | 4.31 |
| 70 | 4.21 (3.97, 4.17) | 4.11 (4.07, 4.29) | 4.07 | |
| 75 | 3.68 (3.57, 3.80) | 3.86 (3.73, 3.91) | 3.7 | |
| 80 | 3.07 (3.10, 3.37) | 3.24 (3.19, 3.44) | 3.21 | |
| 85 | 2.58 (2.49, 2.77) | 2.78 (2.62, 2.85) | 2.62 | |
| Women: | 65 | 4.52 (4.34, 4.53) | 4.54 (4.46, 4.61) | 4.42 |
| 70 | 4.20 (4.10, 4.32) | 4.31 (4.22, 4.41) | 4.21 | |
| 75 | 3.72 (3.79, 3.98) | 4.02 (3.91, 4.12) | 3.87 | |
| 80 | 3.35 (3.33, 3.54) | 3.60 (3.49, 3.73) | 3.41 | |
| 85 | 2.98 (2.74, 3.01) | 2.97 (2.89, 3.17) | 2.87 | |
| Time spent in hospital [days] | ||||
| Men: | 65 | 32.64 (31.46, 35.24) | 33.51 (32.12, 35.43) | 31.3 |
| 70 | 32.81 (31.32, 34.90) | 34.37 (32.08, 35.70) | 30.78 | |
| 75 | 32.10 (30.66, 33.89) | 33.93 (31.51, 35.13) | 30.72 | |
| 80 | 28.91 (28.74, 31.93) | 31.85 (30.38, 34.03) | 29.8 | |
| 85 | 27.49 (26.45, 29.39) | 29.69 (27.07, 30.41) | 26.73 | |
| Women: | 65 | 32.44 (30.53, 33.89) | 33.38 (30.48, 34.08) | 30.42 |
| 70 | 32.24 (30.21, 33.74) | 32.61 (31.08, 34.39) | 31.39 | |
| 75 | 31.16 (29.95, 32.99) | 33.56 (31.33, 34.56) | 30.16 | |
| 80 | 28.63 (28.76, 31.77) | 30.45 (29.78, 33.76) | 29.75 | |
| 85 | 28.76 (26.68, 29.69) | 29.47 (27.83, 31.30) | 27.17 | |