Table 3.
Monte Carlo simulation estimates of alcohol and drug related harms in British Columbia
| Parameter | Median | 95% Credible Interval | Provider availability index (per 1,000) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chronic excess of low-risk drinking guidelines (2012)† | |||
| Interior Health Authority | 118,163 | 100,008-135,789 | 0.03 |
| Fraser Health Authority | 276,271 | 233,825-317,481 | 0.01 |
| Vancouver Coastal Health Authority | 186,288 | 157,667-214,076 | 0.10 |
| Island Health Authority | 123,634 | 104,639-142,076 | * |
| Northern Health Authority | 46,891 | 39,687-53,885 | * |
| Alcohol use morbidity (2013) | |||
| Interior Health Authority | 4,371 | 4,243-4,499 | 0.69 |
| Fraser Health Authority | 5,482 | 5,284-5,680 | 0.37 |
| Vancouver Coastal Health Authority | 3,817 | 3,684-3,956 | 5.24 |
| Island Health Authority | 3,794 | 3,660-3,931 | * |
| Northern Health Authority | 2,109 | 2,006-2,211 | * |
| Alcohol use mortality (2013) | |||
| Interior Health Authority | 253 | 211-297 | 11.86 |
| Fraser Health Authority | 250 | 149-347 | 8.00 |
| Vancouver Coastal Health Authority | 230 | 224-237 | 86.96 |
| Island Health Authority | 229 | 225-234 | * |
| Northern Health Authority | 100 | 83-117 | * |
| Any drug harm in the last year (2012)‡ | |||
| Interior Health Authority | 27,368 | 17,952-36,759 | 0.11 |
| Fraser Health Authority | 63,988 | 41,972-85,944 | 0.03 |
| Vancouver Coastal Health Authority | 43,147 | 28,302-57,952 | 0.46 |
| Island Health Authority | 28,636 | 18,783-38,461 | * |
| Northern Health Authority | 10,861 | 7,124-14,587 | * |
| Drug use morbidity (2013) | |||
| Interior Health Authority | 867 | 782-953 | 3.46 |
| Fraser Health Authority | 1,337 | 1,327-1,347 | 1.50 |
| Vancouver Coastal Health Authority | 843 | 776-909 | 23.72 |
| Island Health Authority | 677 | 588-766 | * |
| Northern Health Authority | 399 | 365-433 | * |
| Drug use mortality (2013) | |||
| Interior Health Authority | 76 | 72-80 | 39.47 |
| Fraser Health Authority | 174 | 165-184 | 11.50 |
| Vancouver Coastal Health Authority | 118 | 111-125 | 169.49 |
| Island Health Authority | 79 | 74-83 | * |
| Northern Health Authority | 30 | 28-32 | * |
Notes: BC= British Columbia, Canada
*
No ABAM certified physicians in this Geographic health region
†
Based on consumption in last 7 days; Butt et al. (2011)(Butt, et al., 2011)
‡
At least one of 8 harms to: physical health; friendships and social life; financial position; home life or marriage; work, studies, or employment opportunities; legal problems; difficulty learning; housing problems.