Table 3.
Unadjusted and Adjusted Hazard Ratios of Mortality by 4 Age 33 Drinking Types, N=11,469
| Bivariate | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hazard | Hazard | Hazard | Hazard | |||||
| Predictor | Ratio | 95% CI | Ratio | 95% CI | Ratio | 95% CI | Ratio | 95% CI |
| Age 33 Drinking | ||||||||
| Abstainers | 2.1 8 | 1.40, 3.40* | 2.1 2 | 1.27, 3 .55* | 2.1 2 | 1.27, 3 .54* | 1.7 5 | 1.04, 2 .94* |
| Light drinkers | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Moderate drinkers | 1.08 | 0.71, 1.65 | 1.06 | 0.69, 1.64 | 1.07 | 0.69, 1.64 | 1.09 | 0.71, 1.68 |
| Heavy drinkers | 2.25 | 1.57, 3.22* | 1.95 | 1.30, 2.94* | 1.95 | 1.29, 2.94* | 1.90 | 1.25, 2.88* |
| Early Life Factors | ||||||||
| Male | 1.24 | 0.97, 1.58 | 1.09 | 0.83, 1.45 | 1.06 | 0.80, 1.41 | 1.06 | 0.80, 1.41 |
| Mother’s prenatal smoking | 1.35 | 1.06, 1.72* | 1.17 | 0.91, 1.50 | 1.17 | 0.91, 1.50 | 1.12 | 0.87, 1.45 |
| Family social class | ||||||||
| Unskilled/Semi-skilled | 1.4 0 | 1.09, 1.81* | 1.1 4 | 0.87, 1.49 | 1.1 4 | 0.87, 1.49 | 1.1 3 | 0.86, 1.48 |
| Skilled | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Managerial/Professional | 0.92 | 0.61, 1.40 | 1.06 | 0.68, 1.64 | 1.06 | 0.68, 1.64 | 1.09 | 0.70, 1.68 |
| Parent education | 0.77 | 0.61, 0.99* | 0.92 | 0.71, 1.19 | 0.92 | 0.71, 1.20 | 0.91 | 0.70, 1.18 |
| Housing accommodations- age 7 |
0.75 | 0.55, 1.01 | 0.87 | 0.64, 1.19 | 0.87 | 0.64, 1.20 | 0.87 | 0.63, 1.20 |
| Parent home ownership - age 7 |
0.76 | 0.58, 0.98* | 1.00 | 0.75, 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.75, 1.33 | 0.99 | 0.74, 1.32 |
| Age 11 academic ability | 0.73 | 0.64, 0.83* | 0.82 | 0.68, 0.98* | 0.82 | 0.69, 0.98* | 0.88 | 0.73, 1.05 |
| Age 7 social maladjustment | 1.32 | 1.08, 1.62* | 1.00 | 0.79, 1.27 | 0.99 | 0.78, 1.26 | 0.93 | 0.73, 1.19 |
| Age 16 internalizing behavior |
0.99 | 0.69, 1.42 | 0.98 | 0.67, 1.42 | 0.98 | 0.68, 1.43 | 0.86 | 0.59, 1.26 |
| Age 16 externalizing behavior |
2.21 | 1.33, 3.67* | 1.26 | 0.73, 2.19 | 1.24 | 0.70, 2.15 | 0.99 | 0.56, 1.75 |
| Age 16 Smoking | ||||||||
| Never smoker | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| <1pack/wk | 1.24 | 0.80, 1.93 | 1.01 | 0.60, 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.60, 1.69 | 1.05 | 0.63, 1.77 |
| 1 pack+/wk | 2.03 | 1.49, 2.75* | 1.44 | 0.88, 2.36 | 1.43 | 0.88, 2.34 | 1.42 | 0.88, 2.28 |
| Age 23 smoking | ||||||||
| Nonsmoker | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Former smoker | 0.90 | 0.51, 1.59 | 0.78 | 0.43, 1.41 | 0.78 | 0.43, 1.42 | 0.79 | 0.44, 1.44 |
| Current smoker | 1.95 | 1.50, 2.54* | 1.48 | 0.98, 2.22 | 1.47 | 0.98, 2.21 | 1.37 | 0.91, 2.07 |
| Age 16 Drinking | ||||||||
| Abstainers | 0.60 | 0.29, 1.23 | 0.48 | 0.22, 1.06 | 0.47 | 0.22, 1.04 | 0.45 | 0.21, 0.97* |
| Light drinkers | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Moderate Drinkers | 0.84 | 0.56, 1.26 | 0.89 | 0.61, 1.29 | 0.89 | 0.61, 1.29 | 0.90 | 0.62, 1.32 |
| Heavy drinkers | 0.90 | 0.58, 1.40 | 0.74 | 0.49, 1.12 | 0.74 | 0.49, 1.11 | 0.74 | 0.48, 1.14 |
| Age 23 drinking | ||||||||
| Abstainers | 1.42 | 0.68, 2.30 | 1.03 | 0.51, 2.05 | 1.02 | 0.51, 2.02 | 0.99 | 0.51, 1.93 |
| Light drinkers | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Moderate drinkers | 0.97 | 0.64, 1.46 | 0.83 | 0.53, 1.28 | 0.82 | 0.53, 1.28 | 0.82 | 0.53, 1.27 |
| Heavy drinkers | 1.30 | 0.88, 1.90 | 0.88 | 0.57, 1.37 | 0.88 | 0.57, 1.37 | 0.89 | 0.57, 1.39 |
| Education | ||||||||
| NVQ 0 | 2.12 | 1.52, 2.94* | 1.34 | 0.90, 1.99 | 1.31 | 0.88, 1.94 | 1.14 | 0.76, 1.71 |
| NVQ 1 | 1.07 | 0.72, 1.59 | 0.84 | 0.56, 1.26 | 0.83 | 0.55, 1.25 | 0.81 | 0.54, 1.22 |
| NVQ 2 | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| NVQ 3 | 1.07 | 0.74, 1.55 | 1.28 | 0.86, 1.89 | 1.28 | 0.87, 1.90 | 1.26 | 0.85, 1.87 |
| NVQ 4 | 0.76 | 0.45, 1.27 | 0.90 | 0.51, 1.59 | 0.91 | 0.51, 1.60 | 0.86 | 0.49, 1.51 |
| NVQ 5 or 6 | 0.86 | 0.51, 1.42 | 1.24 | 0.68, 2.26 | 1.24 | 0.68, 2.27 | 1.18 | 0.64, 2.15 |
| Age 23 social class | ||||||||
| Unemployed | 1.7 0 | 1.14, 2.53* | 1.3 4 | 0.88, 2.03 | 1.3 2 | 0.87, 2.01 | 1.2 8 | 0.85, 1.94 |
| Unskilled/Semi-skilled | 1.26 | 0.63, 2.52 | 1.04 | 0.53, 2.07 | 1.05 | 0.53, 2.08 | 0.89 | 0.44, 1.81 |
| Skilled | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | Ref. | ||||
| Managerial/Professional | 0.88 | 0.61, 1.29 | 1.22 | 0.78, 1.90 | 1.22 | 0.78, 1.91 | 1.28 | 0.81, 2.02 |
| Social Support | ||||||||
| Age 33 instrumental support | 0.95 | 0.92, 0.99* | -- | -- | 1.00 | 0.94, 1.06 | 1.00 | 0.94, 1.06 |
| Age 33 emotional support | 0.93 | 0.89, 0.97* | -- | -- | 0.97 | 0.89, 1.05 | 0.97 | 0.89, 1.05 |
| Physical Health | ||||||||
| Age 16 illness | 2.74 | 1.87, 4.01* | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.08 | 1.33, 3.23* |
| Age 23 illness | 2.70 | 1.76, 4.15* | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1.33 | 0.81, 2.21 |
| Age 23 good/excellent | ||||||||
| health | 0.45 | 0.33, 0.63* | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.98 | 0.66, 1.45 |
| Age 33 health | ||||||||
| Poor | 8.14 | 5.48, 12.08* | -- | -- | -- | -- | 5.15 | 3.27, 8.10* |
| Fair | 1.67 | 1.18, 2.35* | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1.35 | 0.93, 1.95 |
| Good | Ref. | -- | -- | -- | -- | Ref. | ||
| Excellent | 0.74 | 0.54, 1.00 | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.84 | 0.61, 1.15 |
*
p<.05.