Table 1.

Parameter estimates obtained by fitting epidemic models to observed weekly measles cases in England and Wales, 1950–1964. Parameters that are not fitted are indicated with ‘—’.

model	c	α		η	EV	ΔAIC
term-time (fixed )	—	0.25	—	0.25	2.867	270.4
term-time	—	0.15	22.6	0.44	0.813	58.7
cohort-entry	1.00	—	17.2	0.43	0.732	50.3
both	1.00	0.16	17.1	0.49	0.229	0.0
RAS	—	—	13.4a	0.61	0.486	24.7

^aFor the RAS model, was estimated as the mean of the reconstruction in figure 2. The fitted RAS parameters are described in electronic supplementary material, §2.3.