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. 2016 Aug 4;10(8):e0004896. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004896

Table 3. Relapse following VL and PKDL in the Indian subcontinent.

Reference Bangladesh India Nepal
VL relapse
Incidence of VL relapse
- post-antimonial VL treatment [103106] 0.6% (1y) 0.14–1.67% (1y); 67% (HIV co-infected– 1y);
- post-miltefosine VL treatment [29,31,109,112118] 1.6–11.1% (6mo); 7.6–12.8% (1y); 6–10.8% (6mo); 12.8–20.0% (1y);
- post liposomal amphotericin treatment [9,32,33,107,108,110,116] 3.6% 0–0.26% (6mo); 1.39–3.7% (1y); 8.1% (HIV co-infected - 1y); 26.5% (HIV co-infected - 2y); 17–49.1% (HIV co-infected);
Duration to relapse distribution (post-liposomal amphotericin treatment) [108] 15.1% (<6mo); 52.9% (6 – 12mo); 31.9% (>12mo);
Duration to relapse [29,32,108,110] 3.75–10.1mo; 10mo (HIV co-infected)
Risk factors for VL relapse following treatment with miltefosine or liposomal amphotericin
- children (cf adults) OR [31,108,109,113] 1.94–3.54 3.19
- male (cf female) OR [108,109] 1.74–2.14 2.14
- decrease in spleen size < 0.5cm/day at discharge OR [108,109] 1.0–1.55 1.0
- longer duration of symptoms prior to treatment OR [108,109] 0.62–1.0 1.0
- Risk of relapse with HIV co-infection [9,21,110] 16% (1y); 20% (2y); 26% (4y); 6.4% (1y) (combination therapy)
- Anti-retroviral therapy for HIV co-infection after admission RR [110] 0.25
Markers for VL relapse
- rk39 ELISA titres [64] No correlation
- parasite genotype [31] No difference between cured VL and relapse;
- CD+4 count (in HIV-co-infected) [103,107] <200 /cmm
- promastigote morphology [30] Procyclic: Longer slender body; Metacyclic: shorter body; Increased metacyclogenesis;
- macrophages [30] Higher percentage of macrophages infected with parasite;
PKDL relapse
Incidence of PKDL relapse following PKDL [9,88,92,119,120] 13% 0–12.5% (post-miltefosine); 22%;
Risk factors for PKDL relapse
- drug dosage [92] No correlation;
- treatment duration [121] 43% (post-miltefosine for 3mo); 0% (post-miltefosine for 4mo);
Parasite resistance (drug susceptibility)
- promastigote survival (IC50) [122] PKDL: 11.45 (SD: 4.19); VL: 2.58 (SD: 1.58)
- promastigote survival (IC50) (VL relapse following VL) [31,122] Pre-miltefosine: 1.86; Post-miltefosine cured: 2.43; Post-miltefosine relapse: 4.72; No difference between cured VL and relapse;
- promastigote survival (IC50) (PKDL relapse) [122] Pre-miltefosine: 8.63; Post-miltefosine relapse: 16.13;

Note: IC50 (Inhibitory concentration 50%); SD (Standard deviation); cf (compared from); OR (Odds ratio); rk39 (recombinant kinetoplast 39); ELISA (Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay)