Table 2.

Comparison of best practice risk-factor exposure and reference scenario across all countries^a. Difference in disease cases by disease and by persons with at least one disease in projection year ten and cumulative number of deaths postponed as calculated by the difference in individuals alive between the scenarios by sex and risk-factor

	Males			Females
	Alcohol	BMI	Smoking	Alcohol	BMI	Smoking
Breast cancer	n/a	n/a	n/a	−44,650	−46,250	18,100
Colorectal cancer	−40,050	−20,200	10,250	−8,150	−8,750	6,050
COPD	2,700	2,400	−154,600	3,900	3,850	−291,550
Diabetes	−232,600	−481,800	46,750	82,900	−924,550	34,150
Esophageal cancer	−8,350	50	−4,650	−1,550	50	−3,350
IHD	−89,400	−244,900	−189,600	113,500	−304,550	−147,750
Lung cancer	500	16,900	−52,450	350	8,800	−34,750
Oral cancer	−49,000	12,150	−32,900	−10,300	5,200	−8,650
Stroke	−126,950	−86,750	−148,750	103,900	−147,500	−124,000
At least one of the above diseases	−399,800	−595,650	−342,800	157,650	−1,075,200	−349,300
Deaths postponedb	93,750	57,500	332,950	134,050	129,750	274,200

^aWithout data for Poland for to allow comparison

^bCalculated as the difference in population size between the respective scenario if migration is zero and number of birth constant