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. 2016 Aug 6;388(10044):586–595. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30449-4

Table 2.

Characteristics of women aged 18–24 years in England in Natsal-2 and Natsal-3 and factors associated with conception in women younger than 18 years

1999–2001
2010–12
Number of participants (unweighted, weighted) Percentage of participants with characteristic* Percentage who had conception at age <18 years (95% CI) OR for <18 years conception
Number of participants (unweighted, weighted) Percentage of participants with characteristic* Percentage who had conception at age <18 years (95% CI) OR for <18 years conception
OR AOR (95% CI) p value OR AOR (95% CI) p value
Total <18 years conception prevalence 967, 993 .. 13% (10·8–15·6) .. .. .. 1368, 817 .. 11% (9·1–12·4) .. .. ..
Area-level deprivation 0·008 0·005
1 (least deprived) 113, 115 12% 3% (1·3–8·5) 1 1 .. 219, 131 16% 6% (3·1–9·9) 1 1 ..
2 115, 124 12% 10% (5·3–18·4) 3·23 3·4 (0·98–11·77) .. 227, 133 16% 8% (5·0–11·3) 1·37 1·18 (0·51–2·74) ..
3 137, 156 16% 8% (4·7–13·7) 2·56 2·2 (0·78–6·22) .. 259, 164 20% 7% (4·4–10·7) 1·25 1·37 (0·55–3·39) ..
4 229, 256 26% 14% (9·5–19·3) 4·58 3·48 (1·22–9·97) .. 307, 194 24% 13% (9·4–16·8) 2·43 2·15 (0·94–4·89) ..
5 (most deprived) 373, 342 34% 19% (14·7–24·3) 6·82 5·18 (1·91–14·05) .. 356, 195 24% 17% (13·5–21·8) 3·51 2·89 (1·25–6·67) ..
Quintiles of baseline teenage pregnancy rate 0·387 0·3182
1 (low) 176, 203 21% 11% (7·1–16·6) 1 1 .. 249, 154 19% 8% (5·5–12·4) 1 1 ..
2 190, 188 19% 12% (7·7–18·7) 1·12 0·79 (0·34–1·80) .. 252, 139 17% 14% (10·1–18·4) 1·75 1·16 (0·58–2·31) ..
3 211, 211 21% 15% (10·6–21·5) 1·47 0·83 (0·38–1·80) .. 242, 134 16% 10% (6·9–15·0) 1·26 0·72 (0·33–1·60) ..
4 216, 252 25% 14% (8·8–20·7) 1·29 1·04 (0·50–2·18) .. 304, 185 23% 10% (7·4–14·1) 1·26 0·66 (0·32–1·36) ..
5 (high) 171, 136 14% 11% (6·9–18·1) 1·04 0·52 (0·23–1·18) .. 320, 204 25% 11% (7·8–15·0) 1·35 0·67 (0·31–1·43) ..
Academic qualifications in participants ≥17 years <0·0001 <0·0001
Studying/gained further qualifications 435, 475 50% 4% (2·1–5·9) 1 1 .. 825, 523 66% 5% (3·4–6·1) 1 1 ..
None, or those typically gained at 16 years 500, 483 50% 23% (19·1–27·1) 7·99 5·61 (2·97–10·62) .. 510, 266 34% 23% (19·4–27·0) 6·24 3·61 (2·29–5·67) ..
Heterosexual intercourse before age 16 years <0·0001 <0·0001
No 693, 713 72% 7% (4·8–9·0) 1 1 .. 884, 564 71% 5% (4·1–7·0) 1 1 ..
Yes 270, 274 28% 29% (24·0–35·3) 5·86 3·33 (2·04–5·45) .. 452, 233 29% 24% (20·2–28·6) 5·63 3·2 (2·03–5·04) ..
Reliable contraception used at first sex 0·0032 0·1906
Yes 701, 724 82% 12% (9·4–14·7) 1 1 .. 990, 584 87% 11% (9·0–12·9) 1 1 ..
No 163, 156 18% 27% (19·7–35·3) 2·73 2·09 (1·28–3·40) .. 160, 87 13% 22% (16·2–28·8) 2·3 1·44 (0·83–2·48) ..
View on timing of first sex 0·079 0·0693
About the right time/too late 508, 520 59% 10% (7·4–13·4) 1 1 .. 726, 439 65% 9% (7·2–11·4) 1 1 ..
Too early 353, 357 41% 21% (16·9–25·9) 2·39 1·6 (0·95–2·70) .. 426, 232 35% 18% (15·0–22·4) 2·26 1·56 (0·96–2·52) ..
Main reason for first sex 0·1782 0·7324
Autonomous reason 713, 723 85% 14% (11·8–17·5) 1 1 .. 932, 551 83% 11% (9·5–13·6) 1 1 ..
Non-autonomous reason§ 128, 130 15% 15% (9·4–22·1) 1·01 0·58 (0·26–1·29) .. 205, 111 17% 17% (12·6–23·6) 1·64 1·09 (0·66–1·81) ..
Partner more willing at first sex 0·356 0·1182
No 650, 673 77% 13% (10·4–15·8) 1 1 .. 970, 564 83% 12% (10·4–14·6) 1 1 ..
Yes 211, 204 23% 20% (14·7–26·7) 1·7 1·27 (0·76–2·13) .. 203, 118 17% 14% (9·5–19·0) 1·12 0·62 (0·33–1·13) ..
Sex education source 0·2297 0·0478
School lessons 253, 281 29% 9% (5·4–13·7) 1 1 .. 519, 314 38% 8% (6·0–10·3) 1 1 ..
Parents 180, 193 20% 13% (8·4–18·5) 1·51 1·73 (0·75–3·99) .. 205, 119 15% 11% (7·3–15·4) 1·4 1·01 (0·48–2·11) ..
Other 518, 502 51% 16% (12·7–19·7) 1·99 1·69 (0·92–3·10) .. 639, 383 47% 13% (10·3–15·7) 1·71 1·71 (1·06–2·75) ..
Needed more information at first sex 0·1033 0·3937
No 223, 232 24% 7% (4·1–11·8) 1 1 .. 331, 207 28% 8% (5·9–11·6) 1 1 ..
Yes 711, 727 76% 15% (12·7–18·7) 2·43 1·79 (0·89–3·61) .. 930, 535 72% 12% (10·4–14·7) 1·56 1·25 (0·75–2·10) ..
Communication with parents about sex 0·5468 0·9317
Easy 328, 349 36% 12% (8·4–16·4) 1 1 .. 428, 256 32% 10% (7·6–13·4) 1 1 ..
Difficult/not discussed/varied 616, 626 64% 13% (10·3–16·5) 1·12 1·22 (0·64–2·31) .. 896, 543 68% 10% (8·1–12·1) 0·98 0·98 (0·58–1·65) ..
Lived with both natural parents 0·2437 0·0088
Yes 683, 714 72% 11% (8·2–13·4) 1 1 .. 826, 527 65% 7% (5·2–8·6) 1 1 ..
No 284, 279 28% 19% (15·0–24·6) 2·04 1·31 (0·83–2·08) .. 541, 289 35% 18% (14·8–21·3) 3·02 1·72 (1·15–2·57) ..

Conception before age 18 years was classified as livebirths occurring before age 18 years 9 months and abortions occurring at age 17 years and younger. Miscarriages were excluded because of common misreporting, in common with Office of National Statistics. Stillbirths excluded for comparability between Natsal-2 and Natsal-3. OR=odds ratio. AOR=adjusted odds ratio.

*

Percentages were calculated for weighted participants.

English General Certificate of Secondary Education or equivalent.

Contraceptive pill or condom.

§

Non-autonomous reason for first sex defined as copying peers or being under the influence of alcohol in Natsal-2 and copying peers or being under the influence of alcohol or recreational drugs in Natsal-3.

Until age 14 years in Natsal-2 and until age 16 years in Natsal-3. AOR is adjusted for whether participants lived with both natural parents until age 14 years or 16 years, ease of communication with parents about sex, Index of Multiple Deprivation, educational attainment, main source of sex education, whether more information was needed at first sex, contraceptive method use at first sex, whether both partners were equally willing at first sex, autonomy of the reason for first sex, and baseline conception rate at younger than 18 years (area-level), but not adjusted for first sex before age 16 years.