Table 5.
Birth Rate, 1998 | 0.87*** (0.025) | 0.7*** (0.038) | 0.68*** (0.036) | 0.62*** (0.09) |
Death Rate, 1998 | — | 0.23*** (0.039) | 0.23*** (0.04) | 0.35*** (0.1) |
B*D, 1998 | — | 0.036** (0.015) | 0.01 (0.014) | 0.038 (0.026) |
Demand Shock, 2000–07 | 0.007 (0.007) | −0.001 (0.006) | 0.004 (0.006) | −0.001 (0.019) |
Emp Growth, 1990–2000 | 0.007*** (0.002) | 0.009*** (0.002) | 0.01*** (0.002) | 0.012*** (0.003) |
Log Employment, 2000 | 0.11*** (0.029) | 0.11*** (0.029) | 0.09*** (0.025) | 0.05 (0.05) |
Log Income, 2000 | −0.79*** (0.162) | −0.79*** (0.159) | −0.57*** (0.14) | −0.3 (0.3) |
Density, 2000 | 0.004 (0.004) | 0.003 (0.003) | −0.004 (0.003) | −0.001 (0.005) |
HC Share, 2000 | 0.030** (0.013) | 0.032*** (0.012) | 0.04*** (0.012) | 0.022 (0.028) |
Arts Share, 2000 | −0.028 (0.078) | −0.026 (0.076) | 0.035 (0.07) | −0.07 (0.12) |
BA Share, 2000 | −0.012 (0.008) | −0.011 (0.007) | −0.024*** (0.007) | −0.016 (0.018) |
Pop Growth, 1950–1960 | 0.047 (0.060) | 0.017 (0.07) | −0.1 (0.06) | −0.23*** (0.07) |
Median Age, 2000 | 0.016** (0.007) | 0.007 (0.007) | −0.005 (0.008) | −0.005 (0.019) |
Amenity Score | 0.043*** (0.008) | 0.042*** (0.008) | 0.024* (0.012) | −0.034 (0.031) |
Distance to MSA | 0.002*** (0.001) | 0.003*** (0.001) | 0.002*** (0.001) | 0.009 (0.007) |
Marginal distance to MSA > 250k | −0.001 (0.0001) | 0 (0.001) | 0 (0.000) | −0.009 (0.008) |
Marginal distance to MSA > 500k | 0.002*** (0.001) | 0.002*** (0.001) | 0 (0.000) | −0.001 (0.006) |
Marginal distance to MSA > 1M | −0.001*** (0.000) | −0.001*** (0.000) | −0.001** (0.000) | 0.005 (0.004) |
Constant | 6.66*** (1.55) | 6.69*** (1.54) | 4.89*** (1.37) | 3.81 (3.44) |
| ||||
N | 3072 | 3072 | 3072 | 825 |
R2 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.95 |
F (non-FEs) | 272 | 242 | 89.9 | 27.5 |
| ||||
Counties | All | All | All | Metro |
Fixed Effects | No | No | State | MSA |
Full Controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Regression | OLS | OLS | OLS | OLS |