Table 1.

Probability of mortality and hospitalization.

Usual care	Definitions	NYHA II or III	NYHA III or IV
Probability
Death rate
Not hospitalized		0.007 [11, 16]	0.01 (0.01–0.015 [17])
Hospitalized		0.100 (0.07–0.1 [18])	0.100 (0.07–0.1 [17, 18])
Hospitalization
H = 0	No prior hospitalization	0.008 [11, 16]	0.008 [17, 18]
H = 1	Index admission	0.052 [11, 16]	0.168 [17, 18]
H = 2	2 previous admissions	0.106 [11, 16]	0.213 [17, 18]
H = 3	3 previous admissions	0.121 [11, 16]	0.268 [17, 18]
H = 4+	4+ previous admissions	0.180 [11, 16]	0.334 [17, 18]