Table 3.
3-day generation interval | 4-day generation interval | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Wave | Exp. distribution | Delta distribution | Exp. distribution | Delta distribution |
1957 | 1.08 (0.99, 1.17) | 1.08 (0.99, 1.18) | 1.10 (0.99, 1.23) | 1.11 (0.99, 1.24) |
1958 | 1.05 (1.00, 1.11) | 1.05 (1.00, 1.11) | 1.07 (1.00, 1.14) | 1.07 (1.00, 1.15) |
1959 | 1.05 (1.01, 1.08) | 1.05 (1.01, 1.08) | 1.07 (1.02, 1.11) | 1.07 (1.02, 1.12) |
aValues were estimated from weekly data based on three expected pandemic waves: October 1, 1957-March 31, 1958 (1957), October 1, 1958-June 30, 1959 (1958), and October 1, 1959-June 30, 1960 (1959). A generation interval of 3 or 4 days was assumed, with an exponential (exp.) or fixed (delta) distribution