Table 1.
Period 1 | Period 2 | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Total N = 3034 | Compliant N = 1562 | Non-compliant N = 1472 | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | Total N = 293 | Compliant N = 237 | Non-compliant N = 56 | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||||||
OR | 95 % CI | p | aOR | 95 % CI | p | OR | 95 % CI | p | aOR | 95 % CI | p | |||||||
Sex ratio | 1.16 | 1.21 | 1.11 | 0.50 | 1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.34 | ||||||||||
Age | ||||||||||||||||||
Median yrs [IQR] | 3 [1.4–5] | 3.4 [2–5.4] | 2.3 [1–4.5] | 0.2 | 0.1–0.3 | <0.001* | 3.6 [1.9–5.7] | 3.4 [1.7–5.1] | 4.5 [2.9–7.8] | 1.1 | 1.01–1.2 | 0.008 | 1.2 | 1–1.3 | 0.007** | |||
10.7 | 5.7–20.1 | |||||||||||||||||
Age <1 year (%) | 16.6 | 8.3 | 24.4 | 3.7 | 3–4.7 | <0.001 | 3 | 2.4–3.9 | <0.001 | 14 | 14.7 | 10.7 | 1 | - | - | |||
Age >1 year (%) | 83.4 | 91.7 | 74.6 | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 86 | 85.3 | 89.3 | 1.4 | 0.6–3.6 | 0.44 | |||
Severity signs | ||||||||||||||||||
Respiratory distress (%) | 28.5 | 20.5 | 36.5 | 2.3 | 1.9–2.7 | <0.001 | 1 | 0.8–1.3 | 0.71 | 26.7 | 27.4 | 23.6 | 0.8 | 0.4–1.6 | 0.56 | |||
Ill appearance (%) | 31.3 | 22.1 | 39.9 | 2.5 | 2.1–2.9 | <0.001 | 1.3 | 1.1–1.6 | 0.01 | 28.7 | 27.7 | 32.7 | 1.3 | 0.7–2.4 | 0.46 | |||
Risk factors for pneumococcal infectiona (%) | 5.7 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 1.8–3.5 | <0.001 | 1.4 | 0.95–2.1 | 0.09 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 21.4 | 7.8 | 2.9–21.1 | <0.001 | 4.1 | 1.3–12.7 | 0.02 |
Centres (%) | ||||||||||||||||||
Centre 1 | 5.4 | 53.6 | 46.4 | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | |||||||||
Centre 2 | 12.4 | 60.6 | 39.4 | 0.8 | 0.5–1.1 | 0.13 | 0.9 | 0.5–1.3 | 0.37 | 34 | 85 | 15 | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - |
Centre 3 | 20.5 | 48.8 | 51.2 | 1.2 | 0.9–1.7 | 0.27 | 1.2 | 0.8–1.8 | 0.48 | 32 | 87 | 13 | 2.4 | 1.2–4.9 | 0.01 | 1.3 | 0.6–3.1 | 0.53 |
Centre 4 | 13.1 | 36.6 | 63.4 | 2 | 1.4–2.9 | <0.001 | 2 | 1.3–3 | 0.002 | |||||||||
Centre 5 | 4.8 | 22,1 | 77.9 | 4.1 | 2.4–6.9 | <0.001 | 1.7 | 0.9–3.1 | 0.06 | |||||||||
Centre 6 | 12.3 | 65.5 | 34.5 | 0.6 | 0.4–0.9 | 0.009 | 0.6 | 0.4–0.9 | 0.02 | |||||||||
Centre 7 | 9.6 | 47.8 | 52.2 | 1.3 | 0.9–1.9 | 0.23 | 0.9 | 0.6–1.5 | 0.79 | 34 | 70 | 30 | 0.8 | 0.4–1.9 | 0.68 | 0.6 | 0.2–1.5 | 0.19 |
Centre 8 | 0.6 | 47.1 | 52.2 | 1.3 | 0.5–3.5 | 0.61 | 0.7 | 0.2–2.5 | 0.61 | |||||||||
Centre 9 | 17.8 | 63.5 | 36.5 | 0.7 | 0.5–0.9 | 0.02 | 0.7 | 0.5–1.1 | 0.17 | |||||||||
Centre 10 | 3.4 | 25.2 | 74.8 | 3.4 | 2–6 | <0.001 | 1.9 | 1–3.6 | 0.05 | |||||||||
Season | ||||||||||||||||||
Winter | 25.3 | 25.3 | 25.2 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 78.5 | 76.4 | 87.5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | - | |||
Spring | 17 | 18.4 | 15.6 | 0.7 | 0.6–0.9 | 0.01 | 0.7 | 0.5–0.9 | 0.012 | 21.5 | 23.6 | 12.5 | 0.5 | 0.2–1.1 | 0.07 | 0.5 | 0.2–1.4 | 0.18 |
Summer | 15 | 15.4 | 14.7 | 0.8 | 0.7–1.6 | 0.15 | 0.8 | 0.6–1.1 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||
Fall | 42.6 | 42.4 | 42.7 | 0.9 | 0.7–1.1 | 0.19 | 0.9 | 0.8–1.1 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||
Biologyb (%) | ||||||||||||||||||
Leucocytes ≥10,000/mm3 | 74.2 | 76.2 | 73.5 | 0.9 | 0.6–1.1 | 0.26 | 68.9 | 72.9 | 61.1 | 0.6 | 0.2–1.4 | 0.21 | ||||||
CRP ≥40 mg/L | 53.9 | 55.6 | 53.8 | 0.9 | 0.7–1.1 | 0.18 | 55.2 | 55.8 | 54.1 | 0.9 | 0.4–2.1 | 0.86 | ||||||
PCT ≥2 mg/mL | 44.7 | 50 | 43.7 | 0.9 | 0.5–1.4 | 0.58 | 36.4 | 38.4 | 33.3 | 0.8 | 0.2–2.9 | 0.73 | ||||||
Positive blood culture | 3.6 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.5–2.8 | 0.71 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 0.3–39.6 | 0.33 | ||||||
Prescriber (%) | ||||||||||||||||||
Resident | 53.4 | 44.4 | 55.5 | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | |||||||||
Fellow | 21.2 | 22.3 | 16.7 | 0.9 | 0.4–2.2 | 0.87 | 0.6 | 0.2–1.5 | 0.29 | |||||||||
Senior | 25.4 | 22.3 | 38.9 | 2.2 | 1.4–4.3 | 0.02 | 1.7 | 0.8–3.5 | 0.19 | |||||||||
Hospitalization (%) | 32.2 | 12.4 | 51.9 | 7.6 | 6.2–9.2 | <0.001 | 5.7 | 4.6–7.2 | <0.001 | 26.7 | 22 | 46.3 | 3.1 | 1.6–5.7 | <0.001 | 4.1 | 2–8.4 | <0.001 |
PICU | 6.2 | 7.3 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 7.7 | ||||||||||||
Outcome (%) | ||||||||||||||||||
Apyrexia at 48 hc | 89.8 | 90 | 89.6 | 0.9 | 0.7–1.3 | 0.77 | 81.7 | 83.1 | 78.1 | 0.7 | 0.3–2 | 0.53 | ||||||
Death | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2–5.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0 |
Table 1 legend: OR odds ratio, aOR adjusted odds ratio, 95%CI 95 % confidence interval, IQR interquartile range, PICU Paediatric Intensive Care Unit
*age was non-linear in period 1 and was transformed to a second degree polynomial as follows: x1 = ln(X) − 0.3 and x 2 = X0,5 − 1.2 (where: X = age/1000) in the univariate analysis, age was entered as a dichotomous variable (around 1 year) in the multivariate analysis
**age was normally distributed in period 2 and was entered as a continuous variable in the multivariate analysis
arisk factors for pneumococcal infection were reported for 2992 children during period 1
bin period 1, white blood cell counts (WBC) were done for 1228 children, C-reactive protein (CRP) for 1394, procalcitonin (PCT) for 396, and blood cultures for 838 children; in period 2, WBC was done for 106 children, CRP for 114, and PCT for 44
capyrexia occurring at 48 h was reported for 1640 children during period 1 and 115 children during period 2