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. 2016 Mar 15;114(9):1027–1032. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2016.57

Table 2. Prognostic factors for overall and cancer-specific mortality.

  Overall survival using Cox regression
Cancer-specific survival using Cox regression
  Univariatea
Full modelb
Univariatea
Full modelb
  HR (95% CI) Pc HR (95% CI) Pc HR (95% CI) Pc HR (95% CI) Pc
Histology
Non-mucinous Reference <0.001 Reference 0.269 Reference <0.001 Reference 0.169
Mucinous 1.21 (1.18–1.25)   1.02 (0.99–1.05)   1.26 (1.22–1.31)   1.03 (0.99–1.06)  
Location
Caecum Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
Ascending colon 0.88 (0.86–0.91)   1.00 (0.97–1.03)   0.80 (0.77–0.83)   0.97 (0.94–1.00)  
Hepatic flexure 0.89 (0.85–0.93)   1.02 (0.97–1.07)   0.85 (0.80–0.89)   1.01 (0.96–1.07)  
Transverse colon 0.91 (0.88–0.95)   0.99 (0.95–1.02)   0.88 (0.84–0.92)   0.95 (0.91–1.00)  
Splenic flexure 0.89 (0.84–0.93)   0.92 (0.87–0.97)   0.91 (0.86–0.97)   0.89 (0.84–0.95)  
Descending colon 0.79 (0.75–0.82)   0.90 (0.86–0.94)   0.80 (0.76–0.85)   0.87 (0.83–0.92)  
Sigmoid colon 0.73 (0.71–0.75)   0.87 (0.84–0.89)   0.74 (0.72–0.77)   0.84 (0.81–0.87)  
Tumour stage (AJCC 6th ed.)
I Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
IIA 1.55 (1.49–1.60)   0.98 (0.89–1.08)   2.47 (2.32–2.64)   1.45 (1.29–1.63)  
IIB 2.85 (2.70–3.01)   1.21 (1.09–1.34)   7.05 (6.51–7.63)   2.62 (2.31–2.97)  
IIIA 1.13 (1.05–1.22)   1.21 (1.12–1.31)   2.08 (1.85–2.34)   2.13 (1.89–2.39)  
IIIB 2.27 (2.19–2.36)   1.45 (1.32–1.59)   5.63 (5.29–5.99)   3.19 (2.85–3.59)  
IIIC 3.27 (3.15–3.41)   2.30 (2.10–2.52)   9.59 (9.00–10.2)   5.80 (5.18–6.49)  
IV 8.53 (8.24–8.82)   5.58 (5.10–6.10)   28.5 (26.9–30.2)   15.6 (14.0–17.5)  
T-stage
T1 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
T2 1.51 (1.43–1.59)   1.29 (1.22–1.36)   1.87 (1.71–2.06)   1.44 (1.31–1.59)  
T3 2.80 (2.68–2.92)   1.67 (1.52–1.84)   6.24 (5.78–6.74)   1.96 (1.73–2.21)  
T4 6.06 (5.79–6.35)   2.43 (2.20–2.67)   16.7 (15.5–18.1)   2.95 (2.60–3.33)  
Retrieved regional lymph nodes
<12 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
12+ 0.78 (0.77–0.80)   0.74 (0.72–0.75)   0.80 (0.78–0.82)   0.72 (0.70–0.74)  
Grade
G1 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
G2 1.36 (1.30–1.42)   1.07 (1.02–1.11)   1.67 (1.57–1.76)   1.11 (1.05–1.17)  
G3 2.24 (2.15–2.34)   1.32 (1.26–1.38)   3.25 (3.06–3.44)   1.48 (1.39–1.57)  
G4 2.51 (2.32–2.71)   1.49 (1.38–1.61)   3.67 (3.34–4.02)   1.65 (1.51–1.82)  
Unknown 1.07 (0.99–1.15)   1.09 (1.01–1.17)   1.28 (1.17–1.41)   1.20 (1.09–1.32)  
Carcinoembryonic antigen
Normal Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
Elevated 2.59 (2.52–2.66)   1.54 (1.49–1.58)   3.40 (3.28–3.51)   1.61 (1.56–1.67)  
Unknown/borderline 1.53 (1.49–1.57)   1.38 (1.34–1.41)   1.65 (1.59–1.70)   1.44 (1.40–1.49)  
Year of diagnosis
2004–2005 Reference <0.001 Reference 0.004 Reference <0.001 Reference 0.002
2006–2008 0.94 (0.92–0.96)   1.00 (0.98–1.02)   0.94 (0.91–0.96)   1.01 (0.98–1.03)  
2009–2011 0.86 (0.84–0.89)   0.96 (0.93–0.99)   0.86 (0.83–0.90)   0.95 (0.91–0.98)  
Age (years)
<50 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
50–64 0.99 (0.95–1.03)   1.14 (1.09–1.19)   0.89 (0.84–0.93)   1.08 (1.03–1.13)  
65–79 1.44 (1.38–1.50)   1.88 (1.80–1.96)   1.04 (0.99–1.08)   1.52 (1.45–1.60)  
80+ 2.84 (2.73–2.96)   3.87 (3.71–4.05)   1.67 (1.59–1.74)   2.71 (2.58–2.85)  
Gender
Male Reference 0.992 Reference <0.001 Reference 0.011 Reference <0.001
Female 1.00 (0.98–1.02)   0.81 (0.79–0.82)   1.03 (1.01–1.06)   0.89 (0.87–0.91)  
Ethnicity
Caucasian Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
African-American 1.13 (1.09–1.16)   1.18 (1.14–1.21)   1.25 (1.21–1.29)   1.20 (1.16–1.24)  
Other/unknown 0.78 (0.75–0.81)   0.82 (0.79–0.86)   0.86 (0.82–0.90)   0.86 (0.82–0.90)  
Marital status
Married Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001 Reference <0.001
Single 1.32 (1.28–1.36)   1.34 (1.30–1.38)   1.34 (1.30–1.39)   1.26 (1.22–1.31)  
Widowed 1.85 (1.81–1.89)   1.35 (1.32–1.39)   1.54 (1.50–1.59)   1.27 (1.23–1.32)  
Other/unknown 1.20 (1.16–1.24)   1.22 (1.18–1.26)   1.16 (1.12–1.21)   1.15 (1.10–1.19)  

Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

a

Univariate Cox regression analysis.

b

Multivariable Cox regression analysis, full model.

c

Likelihood ratio tests.