Table 6.

 Summary of average annual numbers of influenza‐associated deaths by model type

Season	Peri‐10%	Sum‐10%	Peri‐15%	Sum‐15%	Linear	Poisson	ARIMA 2 SD
1972	NA*	NA*	NA*	NA*	17 380	NA*	4388
1973	NA*	NA*	NA*	NA*	0	NA*	0
1974	NA*	NA*	NA*	NA*	12 976	NA*	0
1975	NA*	NA*	NA*	NA*	22 543	NA*	18 922
1976	0	16 610	0	6593	0	12 438	0
1977	37 785	56 323	22 827	35 379	35 687	24 988	29 948
1978	8565	23 353	4322	12 230	0	4822	0
1979	25 971	45 929	9171	20 077	14 494	10 013	18 582
1980	47 663	64 942	16 406	24 923	38 761	20 893	41 034
1981	0	4508	0	0	7758	5286	7268
1982	22 027	47 513	8629	22 836	8600	27 256	19 732
1983	9552	48 383	9277	38 492	4210	13 528	16 424
1984	36 389	66 081	33 271	56 388	24 503	37 742	40 644
1985	23 274	49 339	18 476	37 737	21 169	17 777	27 305
1986	19 771	37 498	19 771	37 498	11 504	4732	18 252
1987	23 767	47 605	5787	15 374	26 857	21 926	37 528
1988	26 386	56 341	21 825	46 882	3446	17 321	22 967
1989	57 268	81 590	19 172	40 358	29 510	32 304	37 540
1990	20 090	46 889	6538	19 754	21 523	15 120	10 038
1991	36 345	59 542	28 824	47 514	38 743	34 705	20 883
1992	40 293	74 836	22 882	45 398	36 187	25 132	37 572
1993	50 242	71 382	40 165	57 097	32 934	34 749	41 682
1994	35 325	62 601	16 252	34 989	10 569	27 481	23 065
1995	32 455	68 758	19 065	38 830	14 857	23 095	23 208
1996	64 791	103 858	39 328	67 586	28 383	45 168	37 596
1997	61 335	87 824	49 929	72 813	36 504	48 253	42 928
1998	58 638	89 915	47 343	77 576	43 396	42 647	49 714
1999	63 111	91 602	57 696	84 085	41 962	49 496	42 183
2000	30 311	57 805	24 657	49 282	38 498	13 621	17 967
2001	55 023	87 343	46 851	74 808	14 116	56 577	22 256
2002	25 957	54 606	17 988	40 866	0	20 620	6646
Average during the 1976/77 through the 2002/03 seasons	33 790	59 369	22 461	40 939	21 636	25 470	25 665
SD during the 1976/77 through the 2002/03 seasons	18 778	23 279	15 839	22 054	14 462	14 377	13 943

ARIMA, autoregressive integrated moving average; SD, standard deviation.

*Excess death numbers and rates could not be estimated due to lack of viral surveillance data.