Table S2.

Binary and linear regression results: all study characteristics (and contextual variability) predicting reproducibility indicators

Characteristic	Subjective replication (“Did it replicate?”)	Original effect size within 95% CI of replication	Meta-analytic estimate	Effect size difference	Replication P < 0.05 and in the same direction
Contextual sensitivity†	−0.75 (0.33)*	−0.67 (0.26)*	−0.03 (0.18)	0.02 (0.02)	−0.65 (0.32)*
Original study effect size	2.02 (1.79)	−2.00 (1.71)	1.31 (0.13)*	0.48 (0.15)*	2.56 (1.91)
Surprisingness of original finding‡	−0.71 (0.38)	−0.13 (0.29)	−0.01 (0.21)	<0.01 (0.03)	−0.56 (0.38)
Power of replication study	11.38 (4.60)*	−3.29 (3.13)	−0.15 (0.23)	−0.30 (0.31)	16.58 (5.85)*
Surprisingness of replication result§	−2.23 (0.58)*	−0.90 (0.27)*	−0.05 (0.19)*	0.09 (0.03)*	−1.92 (0.51)*
Number in original study	<0.01 (<0.01)	<0.01 (<0.01)	0.01 (<0.01)*	<0.01 (<0.01)	0.01 (<0.01)
Similarity of replication to original study§	0.30 (0.29)	−0.13 (0.24)	0.32 (0.02)	−0.03 (0.03)	0.41 (0.31)

^*P < 0.05. Bs are reported with SE in parentheses. All continuous predictors were grand-mean centered.

^†Coded by authors of this study.

^‡Coded by Reproducibility Project coordinators.

^§Coded by replication team.