TABLE 2.
Comparing Regression Models with Different Multimorbidity Indicators as Predictors of Acute Care Utilization
EDa Visit in 1 Year | Hospital Admission in 1-year | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Modelb | DFc | Wald χ2 | p value |
C- statisticd |
DF | Wald χ2 | p value |
C- statistic |
Model 1 | 0.627 | 0.667 | ||||||
Multimorbidity Class |
5 | 260.5 | <0.001 | 5 | 470.0 | <0.001 | ||
Model 2 | 0.639e | 0.678e | ||||||
Morbidity Count |
1 | 325.1 | <0.001 | 1 | 533.3 | <0.001 | ||
Model 3 | 0.640e | 0.682e | ||||||
Multimorbidity Class |
5 | 10.9 | 0.05 | 5 | 32.4 | <0.001 | ||
Morbidity Count |
1 | 74.9 | <0.001 | 1 | 94.4 | <0.001 |
ED = emergency department
All models are adjusted for age, race, sex, and education level
DF = degrees of freedom
The c-statistics for Models 2 and 3 were unchanged, regardless of whether “morbidity count” was treated as a continuous vs. class variable. Parameters presented here are taken from analyses that treated morbidity count as a continuous variable (possible range 0–13); multimorbidity class was treated as a nominal class variable with 6 levels.
C-statistic is significantly different (p<0.001) from the c-statistic for Model 1, as assessed by the DeLong test19. C-statistics of Models 2 and 3 were not significantly different from each other (p=0.861 for outcome of ED visits; p=0.170 for outcome of hospital admission).