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. 2016 Aug 18;15:417. doi: 10.1186/s12936-016-1461-9

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© The Author(s) 2016

Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.

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Fig. 3 — Proportional reductions in case incidence in 0–4-year-olds 8–10 years following ITN and/or CM scale-up. Estimated by statistical models, averaged over four hypothetical Admin1 units. Left ITN scale-up from 0 to 60 %, by level of target CM coverage; Right CM scale-up 0–60 %, by level of target ITN coverage; Top Average over two Admin1 units with high (71 and 82 %) baseline PfPR in 2–9 years; Bottom Average over two Admin1 units with low (0.3 and 11 %) baseline PfPR in 2–9 years