Table 3. Comparison of four measures of immune restoration in prediction of occurrence of first non AIDS-defining severe events.
Model 1 AIC = 6772.54 | |||
Time-dependent variable | Adjusted* HR | 95% CI | p |
CD4+ cell count (/mm3) | |||
<100 | 1 | ||
100–200 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.60 | <0.001 |
200–500 | 0.43 | 0.30–0.61 | <0.001 |
≥ 500 | 0.31 | 0.21–0.46 | <0.001 |
Model 2 AIC = 6796.47 | |||
Time-dependent variable | Adjusted* HR | 95% CI | p |
CD4/CD8 ratio | |||
<0.5 | 1 | ||
0.5–1 | 0.86 | 0.71–1.05 | 0.16 |
≥ 1 | 0.71 | 0.53–0.96 | 0.03 |
Model 3 AIC = 6787.38 | |||
Time-dependent variable | Adjusted* HR | 95% CI | p |
Immune restoration variable | |||
CD4 ≥ 500/mm3, CD4/CD8 ≤ 1 | 1 | ||
CD4 ≥ 500/mm3, CD4/CD8 > 1 | 0.88 | 0.62–1.23 | 0.46 |
CD4 < 500/mm3 | 1.39 | 1.13–1.70 | 0.001 |
Model 4 AIC = 6772.36 | |||
Time-dependent variable | Adjusted* HR | 95% CI | p |
CD4+ cell count (/mm3) | |||
<100 | 1 | ||
100–200 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.60 | <0.001 |
200–500 | 0.43 | 0.30–0.61 | <0.001 |
≥ 500 | 0.31 | 0.21–0.46 | <0.001 |
CD4/CD8 ratio | |||
<0.5 | 1 | ||
0.5–1 | 1.02 | 0.82–1.26 | 0.85 |
≥ 1 | 0.88 | 0.64–1.22 | 0.46 |
Abbreviations: AIC: Akaike Information Criterion. HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval.
* Adjusted on age, stage AIDS, plasma HIV RNA level, HCV and HBV infections.