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. 2015 Aug 20;7(2):163–173. doi: 10.1080/21505594.2015.1076613

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© 2016 The Author(s). Published with license by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/), which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The moral rights of the named author(s) have been asserted.

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Figure 1. — Within several serial intervals, simulated epidemics transition from exponential to sub-exponential growth in cases. (A) Cumulative Ebola cases, (B) log-normal plot of cumulative Ebola cases and (C) number of infectious individuals versus simulation day for different community sizes (C = {25, 51, 101, 201}). Each curve shows the average and standard error of the results of 100 simulations seeded with one infectious individuals on the 1^st day.