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. 2016 Jan 5;60(9):1341–1346. doi: 10.1007/s00484-015-1127-2

Table 1.

Details of the phenological, agronomic, and climatological data of the experiment, together with a summary of linear regression of selected variables over time (regression on year)

1958–2012 1972–2012
Mean SD Min Max b SE R 2 P b SE R 2a P a
Sowing −97 (Sep. 25) 4 −105 −87 0.087 0.030 13.6 0.006 0.225 0.085 20.8 0.012
Emergence −85 (Oct. 7) 5 −93 −72 0.021 0.044 0.4 0.639 0.358 0.114 20.7 0.003
Shooting 76 (Mar. 16) 9 59 100 −0.167 0.079 7.8 0.039 0.215 0.174 5.3 0.224
Heading 108 (Apr. 18) 8 93 123 −0.127 0.069 6.0 0.071 −0.104 0.176 17.8 0.556
First flower 133 (May 13) 5 118 149 −0.064 0.046 3.5 0.169 −0.152 0.103 33.2 0.267
Full flower 149 (May 29) 10 127 167 −0.363 0.065 37.1 <0.001 −0.398 0.131 57.4 0.004
Harvest 208 (Jul. 27) 6 195 221 0.138 0.050 12.4 0.008 0.251 0.140 10.0 0.081
Yield (t/ha) 4.20 1.36 1.55 6.57 0.064 0.008 56.9 <0.001 0.007 0.019 62.5 0.720
Density (plants/m2) 383 85 242 551 4.39 0.89 38.3 <0.001 −1.27 1.12 69.0 0.264
Grains/ear 34 6 17 52 0.163 0.080 9.6 0.049 0.260 0.142 11.2 0.074
Annual mean temperature (°C) 8.3 1.0 6.6 10.3 0.041 0.007 40.0 <0.001
Annual total precipitation mm 605 131 313 841 3.58 1.11 17.1 0.002

b represents the per year trend which is presented together with its standard error, % variance accounted for (R 2), and an indication of statistical significance (P). Phenological and yield data for 1958–2012, other agronomic data for 1972–2012, and climatological data for 1961–2012

The regression models for 1972–2012 involve just a single variety in use and include a dummy variable (see text for details)

a R 2 indicates the overall model, but P just the significance of the trend through time