Table 2.
The frequency of the different types of patterns in the seven plumage patches over the body, the number of unique models in the entire posterior sample distribution as well as the top model set, and the average probability and marginal probability of the ancestral state of patterns, in Anseriformes and Galliformes using branches that have BI = > 0.95. The tail only has seven species with scaled patterns and was removed from the analyses
| Ancestral state | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plumage pattern frequency | Unique models | Average probability | Marginal probability | |||||||||||||
| Absence of patterns | Scales | Bars | Spots | Mottled | Posterior sample | Top model set (BF > =2) | Full model | Absence of patterns | Scales | Bars | Spots | Absence of patterns | Scales | Bars | Spots | |
| Anseriformes | ||||||||||||||||
| Nape | 58 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 943 | 480 | 662: BF = 0.06 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.08; 0.68 | 0.74; 0.02 | 0.70; 0.06 | 0.76; 0.00 |
| Wing | 77 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 693 | 446 | 56: BF = 0.03 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.09; 0.71 | 0.76; 0.04 | 0.74; 0.06 | 0.79; 0.01 |
| Rump | 75 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 1821: BF = 0.70 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.34 | N/A | 0.65; 0.00 | 0.62; 0.02 | 0.45; 0.20 | N/A |
| Breast | 54 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 453 | 161 | 38: BF = 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 0.51 | 0.92; 0.04 | 0.92; 0.04 | 0.91; 0.05 | 0.13; 0.83 |
| Flanks | 45 | 11 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 219 | 46 | 12: BF = 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.15; 0.83 | 0.93; 0.06 | 0.98; 0.00 | 0.89; 0.09 |
| Vent | 64 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 336 | 84 | 7: BF = 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.98; 0.00 | 0.98; 0.00 | 0.22; 0.76 | 0.76; 0.22 |
| Whole body | 35 | 18 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 250 | 96 | 6: BF = 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.04; 0.95 | 0.97; 0.02 | 0.99; 0.00 | 0.97; 0.02 |
| Galliformes | ||||||||||||||||
| Nape | 51 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 584 | 265 | 5: BF = 0.00 | 0.69 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.14; 0.83 | 0.92; 0.05 | 0.89; 0.08 | 0.96; 0.01 |
| Wing | 53 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 974 | 540 | 61: BF = 0.01 | 0.85 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.00; 0.89 | 0.89; 0.00 | 0.89; 0.00 | 0.89; 0.00 |
| Rump | 58 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 1195 | 610 | 28: BF = 0.00 | 0.89 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.01; 0.90 | 0.91; 0.00 | 0.91; 0.00 | 0.91; 0.00 |
| Tail | 57 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 24 | 42 | 11 | 1399: BF = 0.07 | 0.41 | N/A | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.70; 0.14 | N/A | 0.42; 0.42 | 0.54; 0.30 |
| Breast | 67 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 678 | 222 | 35: BF = 0.00 | 0.56 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.01; 0.94 | 0.95; 0.00 | 0.94; 0.01 | 0.94; 0.01 |
| Flanks | 58 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 761 | 417 | 28: BF = 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.47; 0.46 | 0.66; 0.27 | 0.75; 0.18 | 0.92; 0.01 |
| Vent | 85 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1197 | 613 | 67: BF = 0.01 | 0.48 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.32; 0.56 | 0.71; 0.17 | 0.76; 0.12 | 0.84; 0.04 |
| Whold body (scales) | 44 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 352 | 136 | 6: BF = 0.00 | 0.87 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.01; 0.97 | 0.98; 0.00 | 0.97; 0.01 | 0.98; 0.00 |
| Whole body (spots) | 41 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 199 | 496 | 58: BF = 0.01 | 0.83 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.00; 0.94 | 0.94; 0.00 | 0.94; 0.00 | 0.94; 0.00 |