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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Psychiatry. 2016 May 16;173(9):911–918. doi: 10.1176/appi.ajp.2016.15111373

TABLE 2.

Hazard Ratios From a Cox Proportional Hazard Model With Time-Dependent Covariates in Men Examining the Effect of Marriage on Risk for Onset of Alcohol Use Disorder

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3aa Model 3ba Model 4





Variable Hazard
Ratio
95% CI Hazard
Ratio
95% CI Hazard
Ratio
95% CI Hazard
Ratio
95% CI Hazard
Ratio
95% CI
Marriage 0.41 0.40, 0.42 0.40 0.39, 0.41 0.41 0.39, 0.42
  Marriage to spouse with
    no history of registration
    for alcohol use disorder
0.38 0.37, 0.39 0.38 0.37, 0.39
  Marriage to spouse with
    a history of registration
    for alcohol use disorder
1.29 1.16, 1.43
Birth year (by year) 1.01 1.01, 1.02 1.01 1.01, 1.02 1.01 1.01, 1.02 1.01 1.01, 1.02
Parental education
  Middle versus low level 0.90 0.88, 0.92 0.90 0.89, 0.92 0.90 0.89, 0.92 0.90 0.89, 0.92
  High versus low level 0.64 0.63, 0.66 0.64 0.63, 0.66 0.64 0.63, 0.66 0.64 0.63, 0.66
Early-onset deviant behavior 5.33 5.23, 5.43 5.31 5.21, 5.41 5.31 5.21, 5.41 5.31 5.21, 5.40
Family history of alcohol
  use disorder
2.26 2.22, 2.30 2.26 2.22, 2.30 2.26 2.22, 2.30 2.29 2.25, 2.33
Spouse with a history
  of registration for alcohol
  use disorder
3.37 3.02, 3.75 3.18 2.84, 3.56
Interaction of family history
  of alcohol use disorder
  and marital status
0.89 0.85, 0.95
a

Models 3a and 3b are reparameterizations of one another with an identical model fit and explanatory power. Model 3a demonstrates the impact of marriage to a spouse with no history of registration for alcohol use disorder and then shows the additional risk involved if that spouse has a history of alcohol use disorder (increasing risk ~3.4-fold). Model 3b reparameterizes this to allow us to compare directly the risk association with marriage to aspouse without versus aspouse with a history of registration for alcohol use disorder (hazard ratios of 0.38 versus 1.29).