Figure 1.
Predictive capability of an algorithmic model to identify increased risk for 30-day readmission following delayed biliary reconstruction. From this study population, an algorithm was generated to predict 30-day readmission following delayed surgical repair of common bile duct injury based on multiple endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) procedures and history of vasculobiliary injury. Brier scores and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to determine the ability of the model to discriminate true-positive results and false-positive results as well as the overall predictive capacity of the model. Area under the ROC curve (purple): 0.68 (P = 0.03). Reference line is in green