Table 2.
Joinpoint regression analysis of epidemiological indicators related to leprosy, 2001–2012
| Indicator | State | Annual percentage change (APC) | Average annual percentage change (AAPC) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | APC | 95 % CI | Intire period | AAPC | 95 % CI | ||
| Incidence rates of leprosy per 100,000 inhabitants | Aggregated of municipalities | 2001–2003 | 5.8 | −5.3 a 18.1 | 2001–2012 | −4.2* | −5.9 a −2.4 | 
| 2003–2012 | −6.2* | −7.2 a −5.2 | |||||
| Rondônia | 2001–2004 | 4.7 | −4.7 a 14.9 | 2001–2012 | −4.1* | −6.5 a −1.7 | |
| 2004–2012 | −7.2* | −9.3 a −5.1 | |||||
| Pará | 2001–2003 | 5.2 | −13.1 a 27.3 | 2001–2012 | −5.3* | −8.3 a −2.3 | |
| 2003–2012 | −7.5* | −9.3 a −5.8 | |||||
| Tocantins | 2001–2008 | 0.6 | −1.9 a 3.1 | 2001–2012 | −3.3* | −5.5 a −1.1 | |
| 2008–2012 | −9.7* | −15.2 a −4.0 | |||||
| Maranhão | 2001–2004 | 4.5 | −5.0 a 15.0 | 2001–2012 | −3.4* | −5.8 a −1.0 | |
| 2004–2012 | −6.3* | −8.3 a −4.2 | |||||
| Mato Grosso | 2001–2012 | −5.2* | −6.2 a −4.3 | 2001–2012 | −5.2* | −6.2 a −4.3 | |
| Other states of Brazil | 2001–2003 | 6.3 | −1.4 a 14.6 | 2001–2012 | −4.0* | −5.2 a −2.8 | |
| 2003–2012 | −6.2* | −6.9 a −5.5 | |||||
| Incidence rates of leprosy in children <15 years per 100,000 inhabitants | Aggregated of municipalities | 2001–2003 | 6.0 | −10.1 a 24.9 | 2001–2012 | −3.6* | −6.2 a −1.0 | 
| 2003–2012 | −5.6* | −7.2 a −4.1 | |||||
| Rondônia | 2001–2012 | −3.0 | −7.5 a 1.7 | 2001–2012 | −3.0 | −7.5 a 1.7 | |
| Pará | 2001–2012 | −5.3* | −6.9 a −3.7 | 2001–2012 | −5.3* | −6.9 a −3.7 | |
| Tocantins | 2001–2012 | −0.9 | −4.0 a 2.3 | 2001–2012 | −0.9 | −4.0 a 2.3 | |
| Maranhão | 2001–2012 | −3.5* | −5.6 a −1.4 | 2001–2012 | −3.5* | −5.6 a −1.4 | |
| Mato Grosso | 2001–2012 | −5.9* | −7.8 a −3.9 | 2001–2012 | −5.9* | −7.8 a −3.9 | |
| Other states of Brazil | 2001–2003 | 7.9 | −1.7 a 18.5 | 2001–2012 | −2.7* | −4.2 a −1.2 | |
| 2003–2012 | −4.9* | −5.8 a 4.0 | |||||
| Rates of new cases with grade-2 disabilities per 100,000 inhabitants | Aggregated of municipalities | 2001–2012 | −1.3 | −2.6 a 0.1 | 2001–2012 | −1.3 | −2.6 a 0.1 | 
| Rondônia | 2001–2003 | 52.1 | −33.8 a 249.0 | 2001–2012 | 0.9 | −11.3 a 14.8 | |
| 2003–2012 | −7.8* | −13.9 a −1.4 | |||||
| Pará | 2001–2012 | −2.2 | −4.4 a 0.1 | 2001–2012 | −2.2 | −4.4 a 0.1 | |
| Tocantins | 2001–2012 | −0.4 | −3.0 a 2.2 | 2001–2012 | −0.4 | −3.0 a 2.2 | |
| Maranhão | 2001–2004 | −0.4 | −2.8 a 2.1 | 2001–2012 | −0.4 | −2.8 a 2.1 | |
| Mato Grosso | 2001–2012 | −0.3 | −2.7 a 1.9 | 2001–2012 | −0.3 | −2.7 a 1.9 | |
| Other states of Brazil | 2001–2008 | 0.2 | −2.0 a 2.5 | 2001–2012 | −2.6* | −4.3 a −0.9 | |
| 2008–2012 | −7.4* | −11.3 a −3.2 | |||||
*Significantly different from 0 (p <0.05)
95 % CI: 95 % confidence intervals