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. 2016 May 13;102(18):1442–1448. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2016-309359

Table 2.

Predicted and observed mortality using the normal GRACE model

GRACE predicted risk decile Average predicted mortality (%) Observed mortality— non-COPD (%) Observed mortality— COPD (%)
1 1.3 0.6 0.8
2 2.5 1.3 2.4
3 4.0 2.4 4.6
4 5.0 3.2 6.4
5 6.5 4.5 7.4
6 8.9 7.1 12.2
7 12.4 10.7 17.1
8 17.2 16.7 21.9
9 26.6 27.2 32.1
10 48.4 44.0 47.9

COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; GRACE, Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events.