Table 2.
Model comparison
| Model | Mean difference (95% HDI) | AIC |
|---|---|---|
| Instantaneous rate (1/GUT) | 0.0861 (0.0563, 0.117) | −222.42 |
| Expected rate from prior only | 0.0300 (0.0221, 0.0377) | −226.67 |
| Expected rate from full model | 0.00826 (0.00566, 0.0107) | −272.26 |
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